Did Lorie Zapf’s Big victory surprise local Liberals? — Some were Flabbergasted !

Jim SillsJim Sills 12 Comments

Last week I wrote a column about SD Rostra’s success in correctly predicting Upset victories in June by Juan Vargas and Lorie Zapf. Not very controversial, right? But a writer for a SD liberal publication attacked, saying (A) Zapf’s victory was no surprise, and (B) no one said she would miss the runoff and (C) we Rostrafarians were “Morons”. As …

Lessons from 2010 Primary …..Whose Polls can you Trust?

Jim SillsJim Sills 8 Comments

In the last month before the June primary, Barry Jantz reported a poll showing a close race between Howard Wayne and Lorie Zapf in SD city council district 6. Soon after, I reported on polling which showed Juan Vargas leading Mary Salas outside SD County and would likely win the 40th senate Democratic primary. Barry Jantz took flack from some …

FlashReport: Salas Concedes to Vargas

Thor's AssistantRostra Administrator (Thor's Assistant) 3 Comments

From: @FlashReport Sent: Jul 21, 2010 10:11p **Breaking News** Moments ago Salas called Vargas and conceded the 40th SD Dem Primary. The recount is over! sent via UberTwitter On Twitter: http://twitter.com/FlashReport/status/19230531413 Read additional comments from Jim Sills’ prior post this evening: http://sdrostra.com/?p=6789&cpage=1#comment-58669

3rd Day Recount — Mary Salas loses a net Four Votes — 3 in Riverside — 1 in San Diego– Overall Juan Vargas lead now + 26 votes

Jim SillsJim Sills 7 Comments

UPDATE, 9:15 pm, July 21st Today’s San Diego county recount results are in for SD 40. They show a net 1 vote loss for Salas in this county. Earlier this evening, Riverside released their Day 3 Recount report, and Salas lost a net 3 votes there. Juan Vargas’ totals remained unchanged today in each county. Both San Diego and Riverside re-checked 12 …

Recount Day Two: San Diego and Riverside county updates now show Vargas still +22 votes in SD 40

Jim SillsJim Sills 5 Comments

Update [9:50 pm, July 20, 2010] … San Diego county just chimed-in with their numbers on Day 2 of the Juan Vargas-Mary Salas recount. They examined 16 more precincts today. Net Result… Juan Vargas is still + 22 votes ahead of Mary Salas district-wide in SD 40. Salas added 3 new votes in San Diego, but had 1 disqualified. Vargas …

Overheard Downtown This Afternoon

CriticusCriticus 1 Comment

At lunch this afternoon my guest and I happened to sit next to what I presume to be a couple of Democrat legislative staff. The conversation: how hard State Senate President Darrell Steinberg had fought to make sure Vargas lost to Salas in the 40th State Senate District, and what the ramifications would be when Vargas is sworn in. IF …

Recount Day One…Salas Loses 1 Vote in San Diego Registrar’s Report of Senate Dist. 40 Hand count

Jim SillsJim Sills 3 Comments

Update [2:00 a.m.], Tuesday, July 20 Late Monday night, Riverside County posted recount results for 5 precincts within that county. The net result is a gain of 1 vote for Mary Salas in our neighbor county. * * * Day 1 of the 40th state senate recount is over in San Diego county. Juan Vargas began the day leading by …

Viewers Guide— Salas v. Vargas Recount Starts next Monday (July 19th) in Kearny mesa

Jim SillsJim Sills 4 Comments

Everything the public knows about Recounts is Wrong. There is almost no chance of a missed precinct or a math error erasing any part of Juan Vargas’ 22-vote lead over Mary Salas in Senate district 40. The recount will go through the motions, but no one expects to find that kind of flub. No, sportsfans, The Real Game involves votes …

Recount ! — [Updated] — Salas v. Vargas recounts sought in Riverside and San Diego counties

Jim SillsJim Sills 1 Comment

2ND UPDATE (5:50 a.m., Tuesday) The Imperial Valley Press reports today the Mary Salas campaign did not seek a recount in Imperial County. http://www.ivpressonline.com/articles/2010/07/13/local_news/news05.txt Vote recounts will proceed, however, in San Diego and Riverside counties. UPDATE [6:10 pm, Monday]… The Sacramento Bee’s “Capitol Alert” has confirmed the Rostra story, saying Salas filed recount papers today in SD and also in …

2nd Bulletin —– Juan Vargas lead Zooms to 22 votes on new Riverside County returns

Jim SillsJim Sills 7 Comments

UPDATE…. 7 am, Saturday, July 10, 2010 Riverside County just put up another new vote count at 6 a.m. today. They tabulated just 5 votes in SD 40… and all 5 of them went to Juan Vargas. That puts Juan Vargas at +22 overall in the sprawling 3-county district…. Juan Vargas now… 24,282…. while Mary Salas …24,260 This story will …

Judge today orders counting of “Late” Riverside mail ballots in Juan Vargas v. Mary Salas primary

Jim SillsJim Sills Leave a Comment

Riverside county judge Mac Fisher today ordered the Riverside Registrar of Voters to count 12,500 mail ballots which were picked up a day after the June 8th primary election. Judge Fisher ruled the mix-up between the Postal Service and the Registrar should not bar those voters from being heard. (Hat tip to reporter Duane Gang of the Press-Enterprise who filed a story from the …

July 6th — Juan Vargas gains 1 vote in Riverside, and now leads Mary Salas by 12 votes Overall

Jim SillsJim Sills Leave a Comment

How close is the 40th senate primary? It’s so close that discovery of one new vote is a big deal! Mary Salas added 1 vote in San Diego last Friday…but then Juan Vargas gained 1 new ballot in Riverside county over the weekend. Net result? Juan Vargas maintains a 12-vote lead in your updated district-wide totals… Vargas…24,139….Salas….24,127. Still to come: …

June 30 — Juan Vargas Today Doubles his lead to 12 Votes over Mary Salas in 40th senate primary Drama

Jim SillsJim Sills 3 Comments

Juan Vargas doubled his Lead over Mary Salas moments ago in the 40th state senate cliff-hanger. The SD County Registrar counted 22 more ballots in that race today, and they split 14 for Vargas, to 8 for Salas That increases the Vargas lead in the 3-county district from 6 votes last Friday, to 12 votes today. ……………………. UPDATE 8 p.m.: …

June 28— Juan Vargas STILL 6 Votes Ahead — after new SD County Registrar update

Jim SillsJim Sills 2 Comments

San Diego County tabulated 90 additional votes Monday in the ultra-close 40th state senate primary… and they split 45 for Juan Vargas and 45 for Mary Salas… That means Juan Vargas remains your Leader in the Clubhouse district-wide with 24,124 votes to 24,118 for Mary Salas. There are NO new updates so far today from Riverside or Imperial counites. All …

June 25– Juan Vargas now LEADS Mary Salas by SIX votes in 40th senate Primary

Jim SillsJim Sills 7 Comments

Completing an astonishing week-long comeback , Juan Vargas today claimed the LEAD over rival Mary Salas in their classic 40th district Democratic primary. San Diego’s Registrar posted new results minutes ago.  No updates yet today in Riverside or Imperial counties. The new overall totals for the three-county district are…. ….Vargas….24,079…. Salas…. 24,073. Vargas added 66 new San Diego votes today, …

June 24 — Juan Vargas now ONE Vote (!) Behind Mary Salas….Amazing 40th state senate primary Rolls On

Jim SillsJim Sills 9 Comments

Does One Vote really matter? …. YES ! … With updates today from Riverside and Imperial counties, State Senate rivals Juan Vargas and Mary Salas are now just ONE vote apart. Vargas today added 16 votes to his Imperial lead (from +911 to +927). Vargas reduced Salas’ lead in San Diego from +853, to +822, this afternoon. So your Updated …

Juan Vargas Closing In — now just 96 votes behind Mary Salas in classic State Senate primary

Jim SillsJim Sills 8 Comments

Oh Doctor ! …… What a 9th Inning rally Juan Vargas is putting on right now in the 40th State Senate district. Today Vargas gained 54 more votes on Mary Salas in the San Diego County update (288 to 234). When added to totals in Imperial and Riverside counties, that cuts Ms. Salas’ overall lead district-wide to just 96 votes. (There were no updates in …

Juan Vargas now within 150 Votes of Mary Salas in the three-county 40th state senate Democratic race

Jim SillsJim Sills 9 Comments

In recent days, Juan Vargas has quietly closed ground on Mary Salas in their contest for the 40th senate Democratic nomination. The district includes parts of S.D., Imperial and Riverside counties. But today Vargas really surged. Imperial County’s update showed the Vargas lead there growing to 911 votes, up from 809 yesterday. The San Diego update reduced the Salas lead here from 928 to 907 votes. …

Juan Vargas has inside track to Win 40th State Senate nomination

Jim SillsJim Sills 2 Comments

Six days to go in the Great primary Race between Juan Vargas and Mary Salas for the Democratic nomination in Senate District 40. The Latest G-2, rumors and reliable sources reviewed by your correspondent suggest that Juan Vargas will upset Mary Salas in this heated contest. For those just tuning in, incumbent Democrat Denise Ducheny is term- limited from the …