With term limits and aging careers set to impact the current Board of Supervisors over the next four to six years, the partisan makeup of the Board will almost certainly change. Based on voter registration statistics and other demographic treads, the Board is set to change to a long term 3-2 Democrat majority. But that’s only if we don’t take …
Marty Block’s 3 Strikes
A few months ago former Assemblyman George Plescia’s shot at beating current Assemblyman Marty Block was shaky. The 39th State Senate district, where Plescia and Block are facing off, has a seven point Democratic registration advantage and a likely November Dem turnout advantage of four points. That isn’t huge, but without a funding infusion the steady advantage goes to Block. …
DeMaio and Filner are Close
Jen Jacobs, of Sunshine Strategy (great name, but no relation) dropped some serious news on the Mayor race today. I don’t think I am the first one with the news, but seeing as posting credible polls is sorta my thing, I need to share. Below is the release and the polling memo. Mayoral Independent Expenditure Campaign Announces Recent Poll Results …
The Danon Dilemma
So Tom Shepard, whose track record includes some legal troubles, electing the mayor who underfunded the pension system, electing the council president who doubled down on the pension underfunding, losing Bilbray for Congress in 2000, winning Sanders, turning easy Horn/Roberts victories into prolonged costly races, losing Prop D, and losing Fletcher has taken the lead on Filner for Mayor. Behind …
Lorena…err, umm…Tierra Gonzalez Maxes Out to Fletcher
Tierra Gonzalez, daughter of Lorena Gonzalez, made a large contribution to self-proclaimed conservative Republican Nathan Fletcher. The U-T San Diego describes Tierra as a “10th grader at Mission Bay High School, was among 250 students who walked out of the school to protest proposed teacher cuts in the San Diego Unifed School District on Friday, March 16, 2012. Tierra is …
Nathan Fletcher Surges into First Place! Credible* Results
Assemblyman Nathan Fletcher continued his well documented* and very real* surge in popularity this week when he opened a massive lead in the latest poll. According to local sources at the Patch.com, Fletcher now leads with 66% of the vote, enough to capture an outright victory in the June primary. Councilman Carl DeMaio saw a drop to 14%, District Attorney …
State of the City: Winners and Losers
So Mayor Sanders gave his final State of the City address last night, and there were certainly some winners and some losers. First the winners. The three Republican Mayoral candidates were all present and all got shout outs for being there. Good for them. Mayor Sanders, for delivering a solid speech, highlighting success, and handling some outbursts with comedy. The …
DeClercq to Hiram Johnson and Citizens: Go Pound Sand
For Rostra readers who aren’t on Twitter or closely following the debate surrounding the gathering of signatures for San Diego’s pension reform ballot measure, this might come as a shock. Frank DeClercq, head of San Diego’s Fire Fighters Union, thinks that the citizens of California should not have the right to petition their government by initiative, leaving the politicians in …
Dumanis The Democrat?
Early yesterday Dumanis announced her campaign manager, Kevin Klein. The hiring of Klein means Dumanis’ campaign is run completely by Democrats and democrat campaigners, which begs the question, what exactly about Dumanis is Republican other than a check mark on a registration form? With a consultant whose clients include the Firefighters union and the failed Howard Wayne, a fundraiser whose …
How You Know You Are Failing
How do you know your campaign is imploding? Below is an easy to follow checklist for all candidates. Are you the only Republican who isn’t supporting comprehensive reform? Did you only raise $138,000 while your opponents raised over $300,000 and $270,000 plus matching funds? Are you a Republican with a Democrat consultant and a Democrat fundraiser? Did you just let …
Mayoral Candidates: Why Wait?
Dear Mayoral Candidates, After a month of hard work the first reporting period has come to a close. Each of you know exactly how much you have raised. Sure the paperwork might not be submitted or even completed, but you know the number. So don’t make us wait a month, share with the rest of us. Each of you has …
Faucett out. Hansen in.
San Diego City Hall will soon welcome Katie Hansen, of Restaurant Association fame, as City Councilman Kevin Faulconer’s new Chief of Staff. Hansen, who earns a best actress for her role in the overwhelming defeat of Proposition D as well as best supporting actress for her parts in the David Alvarez and Lorie Zapf victories, will be replacing Faulconer’s outgoing …
SDUT: Dewey Defeats Truman
I’m wrestling with a problem. I like the Union-Tribune, I really do, I just wish it wasn’t completely worthless. Maybe (hopefully) it is just the “reorganization” that is tanking the quality of the reporting and it will recover, but thus far it’s proved this election cycle that the paper is approaching utter pointlessness. The UT was severely out investigated by …
What do Browned-Out Firetrucks do in Their Free Time?
That can’t be safe… …or legal?
Valencia Beaten to a Pulp
I THINK I am breaking this story… At approximately 1:30AM this morning Andrew Valencia, candidate for Sweetwater Union High School Board, was assaulted while delivering signs near Imperial Beach. Valencia, who was accompanied by volunteers for most of the night, was momentarily alone in a local fast-food restaurant taking a quick break from dropping off candidate signs when two males …
Glass House Dweller Throws Stones at Castle
When campaigns and committees drop mail sometimes the content becomes a point of controversy. How accurate is that statement? What is the context of that quote? Did that bill really do that? Is that still true? On and on. It doesn’t matter what side you’re on, everyone calls “b#ll$h*t” on a poorly cited or quoted mail piece once in a …
Busby to Intelligent Messaging: Drop Dead
Earlier this evening I spotted a small handful of people waving signs linking Congressman Brian Bilbray to white supremacy. An odd and baseless claim. Only one word comes to mind, desperation. In a climate where voters are looking for candidates who will work to create jobs and turn the economy around, a claim so outlandish and irrelevant will only turn …
Howard Wayne** to Taxpayers: A Contest
**Disclaimer: Nothing in this picture is photoshopped, it is completely original content. I just saw KUSI’s San Diego People from this Sunday and pretty much figured I could summarize what Howard was saying to the taxpayers in one picture, but now we will all have the chance to! I have created a small blank ‘thought bubble’ for everyone to fill …
Frye’s Folly
The Prop D numbers: Definite No on Prop D: 52.6% Definite Yes on Prop D: 18.3% Undecided on Prop D: 29.1% 362 Likely Voters +/- 4.1% Looks like a 2012 Mayoral run for DF is even more of an uphill battle now…
Jerry Sanders: Complete Failure?
First, a very important tenet for me. I do not use the term “RINO” or take shots at someone’s conservative credentials lightly, I cannot stress that enough. Now that we have that out of the way… Seriously? Jerry Sanders. Seriously, dude? At this point it isn’t “what have you done for us lately”, it is what have you done for …
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