Archive for the ‘Sunshine’ Category
With term limits and aging careers set to impact the current Board of Supervisors over the next four to six years, the partisan makeup of the Board will almost certainly change. Based on voter registration statistics and other demographic treads, the Board is set to change to a long term 3-2 Democrat majority.
But that’s only if we don’t take back the Dave Roberts seat. That’s right, Robert’s seat is the key to a Republican majority and is the third most Republican seat in the County — currently a five point Republican registration advantage. That should be a safe Republican seat in San Diego — at worst a lean Republican district even in a Presidential general election year.
A few months ago former Assemblyman George Plescia’s shot at beating current Assemblyman Marty Block was shaky. The 39th State Senate district, where Plescia and Block are facing off, has a seven point Democratic registration advantage and a likely November Dem turnout advantage of four points. That isn’t huge, but without a funding infusion the steady advantage goes to Block. The common and accurate feeling was Block would have to make some major screw ups. Everyone knows where this is going…
Fast-forward to today. There are two things voters everywhere, but especially in the 39th State Senate district, don’t like: Public Pensions and Sex Offenders. And Block has managed to screw up in both places, big time.
Jen Jacobs, of Sunshine Strategy (great name, but no relation) dropped some serious news on the Mayor race today. I don’t think I am the first one with the news, but seeing as posting credible polls is sorta my thing, I need to share. Below is the release and the polling memo.
Mayoral Independent Expenditure Campaign Announces Recent Poll Results
Filner’s numbers begin to plummet as voters become aware of his record and out of touch, old political ways
San Diego, CA – San Diegans for Reform is releasing polling information regarding the San Diego Mayor’s race.
So Tom Shepard, whose track record includes some legal troubles, electing the mayor who underfunded the pension system, electing the council president who doubled down on the pension underfunding, losing Bilbray for Congress in 2000, winning Sanders, turning easy Horn/Roberts victories into prolonged costly races, losing Prop D, and losing Fletcher has taken the lead on Filner for Mayor.
Behind closed doors conservatives are smiling that the most hyped consultant in San Diego is over-billing and under-performing for Bob Filner.
Tierra Gonzalez, daughter of Lorena Gonzalez, made a large contribution to self-proclaimed conservative Republican Nathan Fletcher.
The U-T San Diego describes Tierra as a “10th grader at Mission Bay High School, was among 250 students who walked out of the school to protest proposed teacher cuts in the San Diego Unifed School District on Friday, March 16, 2012. Tierra is the daughter of Lorena Gonzalez, the Secretary-Treasurer and CEO for the San Diego and Imperial Counties Labor Council.”
According to the State of California…
Assemblyman Nathan Fletcher continued his well documented* and very real* surge in popularity this week when he opened a massive lead in the latest poll. According to local sources at the Patch.com, Fletcher now leads with 66% of the vote, enough to capture an outright victory in the June primary. Councilman Carl DeMaio saw a drop to 14%, District Attorney Bonnie Dumanis dropped to 9%, and Congressman Bob Filner dropped to 8%.
I’ve been waiting for a statement claiming victory from the Fletcher campaign since seeing the results, but something must be wrong with my e-mail because whenever I search for “Amy Thoma” I only come across this.
So Mayor Sanders gave his final State of the City address last night, and there were certainly some winners and some losers.
First the winners.
- The three Republican Mayoral candidates were all present and all got shout outs for being there. Good for them.
- Mayor Sanders, for delivering a solid speech, highlighting success, and handling some outbursts with comedy.
- The one occupy protester who stood up and led a “mic check”. She had some serious fortitude to interrupt the speech all by herself, and the Mayor’s face was priceless while the camera hung on him as she was escorted out.
For Rostra readers who aren’t on Twitter or closely following the debate surrounding the gathering of signatures for San Diego’s pension reform ballot measure, this might come as a shock. Frank DeClercq, head of San Diego’s Fire Fighters Union, thinks that the citizens of California should not have the right to petition their government by initiative, leaving the politicians in complete control.
Early yesterday Dumanis announced her campaign manager, Kevin Klein. The hiring of Klein means Dumanis’ campaign is run completely by Democrats and democrat campaigners, which begs the question, what exactly about Dumanis is Republican other than a check mark on a registration form? With a consultant whose clients include the Firefighters union and the failed Howard Wayne, a fundraiser whose clients include Council Member Sherri Lightner and perpetual union-hack Todd Gloria, and a campaign manager whose claim to fame is working for Patty Davis to unseat incumbent Republican Assemblywoman Shirley Horton in a swing district, does Dumanis even plan to remain a Republican?
How do you know your campaign is imploding? Below is an easy to follow checklist for all candidates.
- Are you the only Republican who isn’t supporting comprehensive reform?
- Did you only raise $138,000 while your opponents raised over $300,000 and $270,000 plus matching funds?
- Are you a Republican with a Democrat consultant and a Democrat fundraiser?
- Did you just let your Republican campaign manager go?
If you answered yes to all of the above questions then your campaign is officially a failure. Congratulations.
Dear Mayoral Candidates,
After a month of hard work the first reporting period has come to a close. Each of you know exactly how much you have raised. Sure the paperwork might not be submitted or even completed, but you know the number. So don’t make us wait a month, share with the rest of us. Each of you has access to post on Rostra, so let’s see some numbers! If you don’t want to post without the others, maybe just e-mail Barry Jantz how much you raised and how much cash-on-hand you have by July 4th and when he gets all three he’ll post all three. If anyone holds out he holds onto the numbers, but releases the name of the candidate(s) who spoiled our fun.
San Diego City Hall will soon welcome Katie Hansen, of Restaurant Association fame, as City Councilman Kevin Faulconer’s new Chief of Staff.
Hansen, who earns a best actress for her role in the overwhelming defeat of Proposition D as well as best supporting actress for her parts in the David Alvarez and Lorie Zapf victories, will be replacing Faulconer’s outgoing Chief of Staff Aimee Faucett. Faucett is vacating the position to accept a position as Mayor Sanders’ Deputy Chief of Staff in the recent “City Hall shuffle.”
I’m wrestling with a problem. I like the Union-Tribune, I really do, I just wish it wasn’t completely worthless. Maybe (hopefully) it is just the “reorganization” that is tanking the quality of the reporting and it will recover, but thus far it’s proved this election cycle that the paper is approaching utter pointlessness.
The UT was severely out investigated by CityBeat and dramatically out analyzed by Voice of San Diego, but those publications slightly emphasized quantity over quality, and both have extreme liberal bias. CityBeat is at least honest about its goals and ideals. VoSD had a few hatchet job articles that used the art of subtledy to drive home a clear agenda.
I THINK I am breaking this story…
At approximately 1:30AM this morning Andrew Valencia, candidate for Sweetwater Union High School Board, was assaulted while delivering signs near Imperial Beach. Valencia, who was accompanied by volunteers for most of the night, was momentarily alone in a local fast-food restaurant taking a quick break from dropping off candidate signs when two males in dark “hoodies” approached from behind and attacked him. No money was taken, and the men ran off as quickly as they’d appeared after inflicting serious injury to Valencia.
When campaigns and committees drop mail sometimes the content becomes a point of controversy. How accurate is that statement? What is the context of that quote? Did that bill really do that? Is that still true? On and on. It doesn’t matter what side you’re on, everyone calls “b#ll$h*t” on a poorly cited or quoted mail piece once in a while.
Content aside, the design and graphics on mailers also tends to stir people up. How bad is too bad when you’re using a picture of your opponent? How far can you take altering (for mail, not for a satirical blog post)?
Earlier this evening I spotted a small handful of people waving signs linking Congressman Brian Bilbray to white supremacy.
An odd and baseless claim. Only one word comes to mind, desperation. In a climate where voters are looking for candidates who will work to create jobs and turn the economy around, a claim so outlandish and irrelevant will only turn voters away.
Not surprising, Francine Busby, a serial candidate by trade, has no accomplishments of her own to run on, so it only makes sense that she would try to distract voters.
**Disclaimer: Nothing in this picture is photoshopped, it is completely original content.
I just saw KUSI’s San Diego People from this Sunday and pretty much figured I could summarize what Howard was saying to the taxpayers in one picture, but now we will all have the chance to!
I have created a small blank ‘thought bubble’ for everyone to fill in. Simply save the picture, fill in the bubble, and email it back to me at firstname.lastname@example.org . I’ll post three pictures: the funniest, the truest, and a third wild card I like the most.
The Prop D numbers:
Definite No on Prop D: 52.6%
Definite Yes on Prop D: 18.3%
Undecided on Prop D: 29.1%
362 Likely Voters +/- 4.1%
Looks like a 2012 Mayoral run for DF is even more of an uphill battle now…
First, a very important tenet for me. I do not use the term “RINO” or take shots at someone’s conservative credentials lightly, I cannot stress that enough. Now that we have that out of the way…
Seriously? Jerry Sanders. Seriously, dude? At this point it isn’t “what have you done for us lately”, it is what have you done for us at all.
I mean that in all seriousness. Looking back at the Mayor’s time in office from the beginning until now is anything really better that wouldn’t have been fixed regardless? San Diego certainly hit a rock-bottom a few years ago and could only improve, but has the Mayor done ANYTHING beyond not setting fire to buildings to improve the city?
It seems after being publicly humiliated at a recent Council meeting Marti Emerald is taking steps to reach out to the community and push her message of, umm…well, I’ll try and get back to you when I find it.
She has reinvented her monthly community newsletter although spelling seems to not be a concern. “Subject: We need to restore borwned-out fire engines.” You’d think with a paid staff someone knows how to spell brown.
When the LA Times turns against you it might be time to reconsider your strategy. I’m not going to add much commentary to this, it essentially speaks for itself, but to summarize:
City Manager $790,000 (with a $95,000 increase per year)
Police Chief $450,000
Assistant City Manager $375,000
Today marks a rare, outrageous, and somber day in the City of San Diego. Managed Competition will not appear on the November ballot. Some might celebrate this as a victory, but labor and business leaders agree, every signature should have been counted.
The Union-Tribune features a detailed story here. In summary, the MC campaign had the legal democratic option of counting every signature cut out from under them by the City Clerk and Registrar of Voters late Wednesday because the bureaucrats were unsure if they’d be able to finish a count in time. DeMaio’s only option would be to spend hundreds of thousands of dollars suing the City of San Diego, forcing them to give over 134,000 voters their voice. But a lawsuit would only perpetuate the timing problem, giving even less time for counting after a likely victory, and cost the City hundreds of thousands in legal fees.
Congratulations to City Councilwoman Marti Emerald who lives to tax another day!
Today the three anti-business initiatives that were going to be placed on the November ballot by the union lackeys on the Council to confuse voters about which proposition to support were withdrawn. The initiatives spokesperson said they will “go to voters directly” if they want the initiatives placed on the ballot. Granted they can be resubmitted, passed through the Rules committee, and voted on by the full Council in the next 45 or so days, but doing that would open the measures and their sponsors up to immense criticism.
Did that headline make you read this? Good, because this is boring yet so exciting!
Unless you don’t neurotically check your twitter, don’t get breaking political news email pushed to your blackberry, or don’t regularly troll the City Clerk’s office (see: you’re normal), you are just now finding out that Carl DeMaio’s Fair and Open Contracting Ballot Measure, henceforth known as Turbo-Managed Competition, is currently in qualification limbo (see VoSD story).