Archive for the ‘Criticus’ Category
The first campaign disclosure cut off for raising money in the City of San Diego Mayor’s race is this Thursday. I could give my predictions here about what I think the candidates will raise, but then I’d have to read the whole chain of campaign partisans chanting about my bias. So, I’ll just leave it up to the readers to comment on your predictions…
From this morning’s Union Tribune in regard to the ballot measure to fix city pensions:
Fletcher said he won’t decide whether to support the ballot measure until a fiscal and legal analysis have been done. He also said he has concerns about stripping pensions away from newly hired firefighters, as the measure would do.
“It is clear we have to reform the pension system. I think everyone in San Diego should be rightly outraged at the abuses,” he said. “But it’s a complicated issue and we have to be careful in how we do it. In seeking a solution to a problem we have to solve, you can’t inadvertently make the problem worse.”
Confirmed last night: Jon Cross is the new Executive Director over at the San Diego New Majority. Cross is a former aide to Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger and United States Senate candidate Carly Fiorina, among other positions. He replaces Doug Sain. I think this is a positive direction for the organization. I’ve never met Cross but those who have say he’s detail oriented, keeps his head down, and doesn’t feel the need to be in the spotlight. All attributes that make for a strong long-term Executive Director.
It would be wonderful to start having some of the focus of New Majority be right here in San Diego.
Is Nathan Fletcher in or out for Mayor? This is the question it seems everyone is asking downtown, and the view is growing (downtown) that Fletcher may not take the risk. But over and over again, Fletcher insists that in fact he is running. He’s told numerous people that he will declare for the Mayor’s race in March. According to my calendar March has 31 days, and today is the 29th.
Normally I feel somewhat obligated to fact check posts by “mouth of the local gop” Mr. Murphy. So I did some calling around about the San Diego Mayor’s race. Turns out Murphy is correct: it sounds like Dumanis and Filner are in the race. To Filner first: if he runs, and he is the only Democrat, he is pretty much assured a spot in the run off. Easy.
Reading the Union Tribune I noted an article that said Santee Mayor Randy Voepel announced a couple days ago that he was leaving the GOP because the Republican Party wasn’t conservative enough. I thought this was a little odd, timing wise. After all, the national party basically picked up what 63 seats this time RETURNING to the conservative fiscal values that they had all but abandoned during the end of the Presidency of George W. Bush. One would think Voepel would have left 2 to 4 years ago, during the era of Republican Big Government, not now. Voepel notes that he is sick of the earmarks and taxes – but the new Republican Congress is all over the papers opposing both. What gives? Maybe Voepel will explain? I’d be interested in hearing his thoughts.
It looks like the establishment candidate for Mayor will be Assemblyman Nathan Fletcher. Gossip downtown says that Fletcher has secured the support of Mayor Jerry Sanders, and that he is talking to the Mayor’s political consultant, Tom Shepard. It’s also circulating that Fletcher and DA Bonnie Dumanis have an understanding that if he runs (which looks certain) she will not, and that she will endorse him.
I don’t think anyone could argue with a straight face that the Republican Party hasn’t made itself a major player in San Diego over the past maybe six years. The change started under current CRP Chairman Ron Nehring, and continued under current San Diego GOP Chairman Tony Krvaric. In my mind, the local GOP and the Lincoln Club and a few of the local business associations filled the vacuum left by a Chamber of Commerce that is in fact useless.
Anyone who watches as much tv as I do was bound to see ads this election season for Assemblyman Nathan Fletcher. There were a good number of them, and on broadcast. Fletcher is in a safe Republican seat so I couldn’t figure out what he was doing. Then it hit me a few days ago: Fletcher can’t use the money he raises for his state elections in city elections (the state allows corporate contributions, the city does not). In essence, these were the first ads of the 2012 Mayor’s race.
WINNER **LORI ZAPF**. Well I know it’s obvious she won the election, and of course that makes her a winner, but it’s more than that. Talk to the wags downtown – particularly the corporate or public relations class – and she was a sure loser (same folks coincidentally that thought Measure D was a great idea). Zapf’s win wasn’t just her own: it was a victory for the non-chamber types of real business people and the local GOP who didn’t give up when they were told they couldn’t win.
Independent polling last week: dead tie in the 6th Council District race between Lori Zapf and Howard Wayne.
So 4 million more Republicans than Democrats voted in primary elections nationally. This is the first time this has happened since the Great Depression, says the news. Tells me a little about who has the energy in this election. Also makes me think Zapf’s chances are pretty good in the 6th San Diego Council seat – an area that seems to me like it would be heavy with ‘Tea Party’ voters.
It’s not just that Donna Frye voted against putting the sales tax on the ballot, its how she did it. She warned the majority of Democrats days ago that she wouldn’t vote to put a tax increase on the a ballot without cuts at the same time. Yet again, labor and her fellow Democrats rolled their eyes and ignored her.
Today she asked to vote last. I guess that should have given us a hint that something was up. Then every Democrat went on the record, voting to put a sales tax on the a ballot. Only then did Frye vote no.
At lunch this afternoon my guest and I happened to sit next to what I presume to be a couple of Democrat legislative staff. The conversation: how hard State Senate President Darrell Steinberg had fought to make sure Vargas lost to Salas in the 40th State Senate District, and what the ramifications would be when Vargas is sworn in. IF Vargas is sworn in. Their take (and I can’t honestly say I know that much about state politics in Sacramento) was that Vargas is a moderate, Steinberg is a liberal, and that Vargas and the moderates now had the votes to either replace Steinberg or make his life miserable.
Before today I heard very little about a serious decision to recall Marti Emerald. Today, I’ve had the conversation a dozen times. There is a movement afoot. I don’t know if this movement will succeed or fail, but it is afoot. What I think is that Marti is rather foolish for bringing it up the way she did — it got other people thinking about it who otherwise might have thought it belonged to the fringe.
Before the votes started being counted last night I don’t think that there would have been many readers watching the 77th Assembly seat race that would have thought that Bill Wells would lose. So what happened? My first thought is that maybe Wells didn’t get enough mail out to overcome Brian Jones’ carry over name identification from the Congressional run, and from serving on the local city council. However, since I don’t live in the 77th, I really don’t know for sure. How much mail did the different candidates send? How different were their ballot statements?
Wells is down. Jones is up.
Former Republican Steve Gronke, now a candidate for County Supervisor in the 5th District, has changed a lot more than his party registration lately. The Vista City Councilman sees redevelopment dollars as an open checkbook for municipal real estate speculation , and anyone who won’t sell to him faces the threat of government-enforced eminent domain. Despite Vista’s budget woes, Gronke is leading the charge to spend millions buying up real estate for his city’s redevelopment authority.
Mr. Murphy, the ever present, gloating or apologist voice of the individuals who run the Republican Central Committee, you never fail to disappoint me!
My view on the events of the FACTS of what happened this week:
The defeat of the vocal minority, whether they were right or wrong, within the GOP was a long time in building. Rational people in the GOP and outside simply have had enough of the constant anonymous, rude emails. They were not constructive in any meaningful way, and whether the minority were responsible for them or not, they were blamed for them by the less partisan members of the GOP. This explains the 44 to 1 vote. It was a reaction to the nonsense.
The internet has added another layer to politics. Anonymous political commentary, long an American tradition, has had a rebirth. I would argue that anonymity has an important place in political discussion, but that we as a community need to decide exactly what that place is.
My opinion is that anonymity is appropriate if the topic of the commentary is controversial enough to cause trouble to the writer. Thus, for me, who goes by the pseudonym “Criticus” given my penchant for discussing internal matters of the Republican Party, I have no doubt that my employer might be nervous about retaliation when I am critical. Whether or not such retaliation is probable is not the point, the point is that this is my protection from grief.
Has anyone else seen the “Demon Sheep” Youtube video released by the Fiorina for United States campaign attacking Tom Campbell, also running for the seat. The video is a pretty good example of how over-the-top political advertising rarely works: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yo7HiQRM7BA
The Republican candidates for Assembly 77 were required to report their campaign fundraising last night. I’d guess none of them was in a giant hurry to do so, given the lackluster numbers. Coming in on top was conservative Brian Jones with 21k. Next was Councilman Bill Wells with 13k. Moderate Christine Rubin didn’t even have to electronically file, which means her campaign is hardly flush with cash. This race is wide open. Will someone with the capacity to raise some money please consider running. We don’t need another Jay LaSuer keeping the seat out there warm.
I think we all can agree that political campaigns hardly bring out the best in people. Quite often they bring out the worst. Over the last few days some readers may have followed the story where an anonymous blogger from the Red County blogs, similar center right blogs to our own dear SD Rostra, was booted off the blogroll for accepting money to blog for Gubernatorial candidate Steve Poizner, or perhaps against candidate Meg Whitman.
Readers probably have figured out I’m no great fan of people or of organizations who use their power to beat others into submission, or humiliate others, or threaten others. That’s why I was disgusted by an email I got last night informing me that the local labor council had blackballed a local business owner, Bob Glaser. Glaser, upon further investigation, runs a petition and signature gathering firm that has done more than ten years of work for both Republican and Democrat causes. Equal opportunity gathering and capitalism… I like that!
Good job to the San Diego Lincoln Club for inviting San Diego City Councilman Tony Young to address the organization. Yes, it is true, Tony Young is a Democrat. Yes, it is true, Tony also votes with labor some of the time from what I can tell. But at the Lincoln Club Tony was very clear that he didn’t want to be defined by his partisan affiliation, or his labor affiliation. Good for him! We could stand a few more officials at the city who actually looked at problems, and how to solve them, first!