So What Will the Candidates for Mayor Raise?

Criticus Criticus 11 Comments

Share

The first campaign disclosure cut off for raising money in the City of San Diego Mayor’s race is this Thursday. I could give my predictions here about what I think the candidates will raise, but then I’d have to read the whole chain of campaign partisans chanting about my bias. So, I’ll just leave it up to the readers to comment on your predictions…

Share

Comments 11

  1. DeMaio had big turnout at his fundraiser tonight. plus the match, it will be him.

  2. Let’s take DeMaio’s match out. If he even matches. Let’s talk about money actually raised.

    In money actually raised I think that Fletcher will probably come on on top by a considerable amount. Why?

    1. Fletcher has real statewide and national political contacts (via his wife who used to work for Bush)

    2. Fletcher knows that he needs to really outdo Dumanis to bring back the downtown donors that are moving her way.

    So I think Fletcher comes in first, I don’t know how much maybe 250k, Dumanis and DeMaio considerably less?

  3. DeMaio certainly got a head start on his competitors in this race and with or without his personal match, I would expect him to have a big edge at the first “checkpoint.”

    Since we will debating comparative support, I will be interested to see how much of a lead DeMaio has without counting his personal money. I would guess it will be substantial although I wouldn’t be shocked if Dumanis was close.

  4. It has to be Fletcher. His Sacramento lobbyist money should put him first by a comfortable margin.

  5. Bill’s point is crucial. Fletcher likely will raise relatively little San Diego money. Most of his potential domestic sources will be funding Dumanis instead of his campaign.

    Dumanis has Mayor Sanders and other heavyweights working the phones — calling the local heavy hitters (the Downtown Businessman’s Subsidy Association) to raise money for her. It is indeed a prestigious boiler room operation! In essence, their likely pitch is anti-DeMaio rather than pro-Dumanis.

  6. DeMaio certainly got a head start on his competitors in this race and with or without his personal match, I would expect him to have a big edge at the first “checkpoint.”

    Since we will debating comparative support, I will be interested to see how much of a lead DeMaio has without counting his personal money. I would guess it will be substantial although I wouldn’t be shocked if Dumanis was close.

  7. It is worth remembering that JULY 31 is the deadline to actually file the official paperwork reports with the City Clerk. Today (June 30) is merely the cutoff date for transactions to appear in those July 31 reports.

    So what we will see today and tomorrow is simply a battle of Press Releases, with ANNOUNCED totals for fundraising and Cash-on-Hand.

    Unless one or more candidates publish their full reports NOW, a month before the July 31 filing date. That is possible and it’ll be worth watching to see.

  8. Alger –

    I’m not sure how Demaio would have a big lead. Please explain. When has he ever raised money — didn’t he pay for his first race out of pocket?

    I mean Dumanis is the SITTING DA and endorsed by the Mayor and most of the downtown. I think people on this blog are WAY underestimating her.

    I have no idea about Fletcher.

  9. Bill, I agree that Dumanis could likely raise the most money. After all, how many candidates have our popular MAYOR on the phone, raising money? Yes, he is ACTUALLY doing that. Perfectly legal, of course (assuming he’s doing it on personal time and phone).

    The Mayor likely is driven more by a dislike for Carl than by a love for Dumanis.

    NOTE: I’m making a CONJECTURE here. Forgive me.

  10. Richard,

    I think the Mayor has both a love for Dumanis AND a hate of DeMaio.

    Bill,

    You are correct that DeMaio has never had to raise money before this race, however I think you will find that he will get a lot of money from the construction industry (and they generally give more than the Downtown Establishment) because of his rabid anti-PLA and anti-everything union positions. He also has had, by far, the most fundraising events this month.

  11. What I’m interested to see is how many give to 2 or more candidates. So many folks around town have relationships with more than one candidate.

    Also, what about Bob? If his numbers are very low, does that help pull in another democrat into the race?

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.