It looks like the establishment candidate for Mayor will be Assemblyman Nathan Fletcher. Gossip downtown says that Fletcher has secured the support of Mayor Jerry Sanders, and that he is talking to the Mayor’s political consultant, Tom Shepard. It’s also circulating that Fletcher and DA Bonnie Dumanis have an understanding that if he runs (which looks certain) she will not, and that she will endorse him.
Currently there are four likely candidates in the race for Mayor: Fletcher, Councilman Carl DeMaio, Councilman Kevin Faulconer, and business man Steve Francis. All four are Republicans, and all four could to an extent be considered conservative (particularly when compared to the current Mayor). That leaves quite a bit of room on the Democrat side of the field for one of the four to attract voters, but more likely an actual Democrat candidate will run. Congressman Bob Filner, now deep in the minority in Congress, is still considering a run, as he has been for decades.