Posts Tagged ‘State Senate’
Is Governor Brown for real? He signed a budget that was based on overly optimistic revenue projections that everyone knew would not be met. If he was a leader, he would NOT have signed the current budget last summer. If he really cared for California, he would have said “NO” and forced the legislature to work out a realistic budget (with no pay in the meantime).
I don’t know about you, but for me, a budget using the usual “smoke and mirrors” approach that just passes the problem to the next year and beyond isn’t realistic, nor does it show any leadership. Brown’s failure to provide the leadership expected as Governor regarding the budget has hurt the state even more.
New faces, new districts, and more competition
by Ron Nehring
Let’s take a quick look at the draft Assembly, State Senate and Congressional district maps in San Diego County. While these drafts may change in the weeks ahead, they give us good insight into the direction things are moving, and therefore, who’s likely to gain, and whose jobs have become more difficult. Demographic and election performance data is forthcoming, and may influence the analysis. With the information available now, this is what we have:
Credible new number-crunching reveals the revised 39th state senate seat depicted above (held by Chris Kehoe now) would have a 38% to 34% GOP registration edge, and backed Meg Whitman vs. Jerry Brown by a 52% to 40% margin in 2010. (Hat tip to Redistricting Partners group.) Stunner! This would now be a clear-cut GOP seat, not just a competitive one, if adopted by the State Redistricting Commission, whose staff drew this proposal.
So who wants to be a State Senator? As of today no Republican has filed for this seat! How fast will that change as news gets out about this map? As of today three Democrat hopefuls have already taken out papers (Toni Atkins, Howard Wayne, and Lori Saldana).
Last January 31, SD Rostra foresaw a Republican takeover chance in mid-county’s 39th State Senate District. That prediction looks pretty good in preliminary maps (see above) issued this week by the State Redistricting Commission’s staff. The area now served by Chris Kehoe would add Republican strongholds like Rancho Bernardo, Penasquitos, San Carlos, Tierrasanta, and Scripps Ranch. The maps also seem to show El Cajon, La Mesa and a chunk of Spring Valley going to SD 39 as well! Meanwhile a few strongly Democratic Midtown neighborhoods are removed. Oops!
At lunch this afternoon my guest and I happened to sit next to what I presume to be a couple of Democrat legislative staff. The conversation: how hard State Senate President Darrell Steinberg had fought to make sure Vargas lost to Salas in the 40th State Senate District, and what the ramifications would be when Vargas is sworn in. IF Vargas is sworn in. Their take (and I can’t honestly say I know that much about state politics in Sacramento) was that Vargas is a moderate, Steinberg is a liberal, and that Vargas and the moderates now had the votes to either replace Steinberg or make his life miserable.