Archive for the ‘North Pole’ Category
UPDATE – I’m not sure what the difference is between a progressive and a liberal, but progressives were hitting the phones today. They seem to be building a theory – that with at least one strong pro-business candidate in the race and one progressive Fletcher doesn’t really have much of a voter base. Listening in (forgive me!) today I heard another interesting theory – that if there is a ‘south of 8′ candidate and a Republican and Fletcher again this puts Fletcher in a bad spot. I just have a hard time believing that the leaders of the progressive community – and I’m usually against them every time but I will admit they have principles – would be cynical enough to give Fletcher a free shot.
There are so many polls going on in San Diego this week I have no idea where to start.
First the Fletcher “poll” that is mentioned earlier in this blog. I say “poll” like that because I just got off the phone with a pollster friend and he pretty much confirmed what I thought: this isn’t a ‘real’ poll. It all but pushes a vote for Fletcher, and does not address his problems except the weakest way possible. To quote the pollster, “this ‘poll’ is pretty much designed to show Fletcher with a huge lead so that he can scare other Democrats out of the race.”
It’s been a couple weeks since my last post so I thought I’d play some catch up.
#1 I don’t believe Bob Filner will resign unless he has to negotiate away his office to avoid prison time for the other financial scandals that are roiling him. So what that all the Democratic officials in town are calling for him to step down. Filner must know what we all know: they didn’t want him to run in the first place, never liked him, and see this as an opportunity to replace him with someone they like (or some are afraid they’ll lose the seat to a Republican).
Thank you MIGHTY THOR for letting those of us who drop off for a while continue to post!
I can’t stand it… not saying something… so here we go –
Because of my job and some of my outside duties I’ve been exposed to quite a bit of talk about this Mayoral thing over the last couple weeks. It’s too juicy to let stand.
I took a look at the first cut of the new district lines for north county. One seat is mostly made up of Oceanside, Carlsbad, Vista, and Encinitas. I think this is pretty much where everyone here in north county thought a seat would fall. So far the only candidate in the race has been Sherry Hodges. Sherry has been running hard, trying to get out front. She has a number of local elected officials who have endorsed her, and has hired downtown political consultant Tom Shepard. Not sure how much money she’s raised. She’s also somehow earned the “anti-endorsement” of the current holder of the district and her former boss Assemblyman Martin Garrick.
A couple months ago Sherry Hodges (once a staffer for Assemblyman Martin Garrick, then after some sort of fight now a staffer for Orange County Assemblywoman Diane Harkey) declared for State Assembly. The general feeling around town was that Hodges had the endorsement of Martin Garrick. I wondered about it though in a post a few weeks back… the Garrick people were acting weird.
There is some talk that with various possible financial scandals involving her arts gifts (remember what happened in Encinitas recently), Supervisor Pam Slater might still pull the plug on her campaign for County Supervisor. This mixes the race up and opens the door for more candidates. Two names floating around are Democrat Scott Peters, who previously served on the San Diego City Council, and Assemblyman Martin Garrick. Peters has talked about running for just about anything ever since he left office. Garrick is terming out of the legislature and while he has declared for State Senate, the Sup seat is 2012 while the Senate seat would be 2014. Would either run against Slater? – probably not I’d guess, but in an open seat who knows? Meanwhile candidate Steve Danon, as noted yesterday, got State Senator Joel Anderson’s endorsement.
The only declared candidate for the Republican nomination in the 74th Assembly District is Sherry Hodges, District Director to current Assemblyman Martin Garrick. Hodges has been making phone calls rounding up supporters from as far back as the summer of 2010. It was pretty clear from everyone I’ve spoken to that the assumption was that Garrick supported Hodges’ bid, although there was some chatter on my last post that that might not be the case. Over the last couple days though there has been quite a bit of email traffic that Hodges is no longer with Garrick’s office. I don’t want to attribute to much to this. It could mean a number of things of course. Anyone know the scoop?
Brian Maienschein served for eight years on the San Diego City Council. A Republican heavily supported by the labor unions, he cast many of the votes that put the city in such dire straights. He then ran for San Diego City Attorney – and was slaughtered. He now works for a help the homeless nonprofit. But he can’t shake the political bug. He’s considering either running for his old council seat or the state assembly. Just what City Hall or Sacramento needs.
A couple of weeks ago I reported that Del Mar Councilwoman Crystal Crawford had already declared herself a candidate for the non-existent 74th Assembly District (all lines will be redrawn by a state commission by August of 2011). Yesterday afternoon at the Fairbanks Republican Women luncheon Republican Sherry Hodges declared herself a candidate for the 74th AD. Hodges is District Director for Assemblyman Martin Garrick. Rumor has it that Hodges has hired Nancy Chase as her political adviser.
Anyone ever notice when there are budget cuts to be made, the politicians and bureaucrats generally pick those items to cut that are the core services (ie public safety, roads, education, parks) instead of going through the budget line by line and cutting administration? Why would that be? Because these folks don’t want to change the way they do business – they want to cause some pain so that the tax increase they invariably suggest sounds more reasonable.
Got to hand it to liberal Democrat Del Mar Councilwoman Crystal Crawford. After running a negative campaign against Republican Martin Garrick for State Assembly she managed to gather up a big 38% of the vote, losing by some 25,000 ballots cast. But in the last few days Crawford is already telling anyone in North County that she plans to run again for the 74th Assembly Seat in 2012. The problem? There is no district. The rub: all legislative seats will be redrawn in the next six months. She will certainly be in an Assembly seat, but what seat is up in the air. Crawford is literally running for a seat that doesn’t exist.
OK sometimes I agree with San Diego City Councilman Carl DeMaio, sometimes I disagree. Sometimes he seems to go a bit to far. But in the case of DeMaio’s move to cut the arts budget of the City of San Diego DeMaio is not going far enough. People – the gravy boat we have been riding on for decades is over. Core services need to come first, and as much as the arts community would like to consider themselves a core service, I think that the public would disagree.
San Diegans do not live within Pacific Gas & Electric’s service fiefdom, but we are nonetheless affected by the giant utililty’s political weight-throwing.
Following the wake of its disastrously expensive and failed attempt to persuade voters — via Prop. 16 — to grant a virtual monopoly, PG&E is now trying to rehabilitate its image and grow its bottom line by opposing Proposition 23 – the initiative that would suspend job-killing AB 32 until state unemployment falls to 5.5%.
It’s an attempt to please the powers-that-be by being “green” – and in PG&E’s case, green is just about The Planet.
Over the email Monday night I got an invitation to an “Elections Panel: Issues and Trends” hosted by J.W. August, Managing Editor of Channel 10 News. Channel 10 is an official co-sponsor of this event.
The speakers on the “Expert Panel”? Francine Busby, Democrat candidate for the 50th Congressional District, Steve Freeman, an author of a book that asserts that President Bush stole the 2000 election, Mark Price, a local Republican activist, and Ken Karan, Co-Founder of Psephos and one of the attorneys against Bilbray in Bilbray v. Jacobson. Quite a balanced forum…
Great news for Poizner supporters this morning: his campaign strategy worked! Congratulations to everyone involved – you’ve taken a campaign that was 50 points down (is that even possible in the real world) and spent millions upon millions to get to… 30 points down. The last Field Poll showed Whitman around 63 and Poizner around 14. The poll circulating this morning from Probolsky Research put the numbers at 47-19.
I don’t know about other readers, but I haven’t heard a good thing about the Poizner campaign’s erratic charges that Meg Whitman was Sopranos style threatening him in order to make him drop out of the race. Want to have some fun? Do what I did yesterday and call a few local Poizner supporters and ask them what they think. They are mortified. Frankly, I think this whole mess is important, and a good thing. The GOP came within a few months of potentially nominating a candidate, Poizner, with this kind of lack of common sense. But we didn’t. He blew up early. The campaign is now over for him – the only thing he can spare us is the endless tv ads and himself further embarrassment. Got this article from Poizner’s hometown newspaper several times in the email this morning and last night:
We all enjoy the fun and games of politics, like public safety workers coming to doors during an election in “costume uniforms” during the recent special election here in Oceanside, but I got a press release from the Poizner for Governor campaign today that makes me think that the Commissioner, or maybe his staff, have lost their collective minds. In short, Poizner’s campaign has reported the Whitman campaign to the FBI, the US Attorney, and the AG for “threats and intimidation.” For the sweet love of all that is holy, Poizner wants to be GOVERNOR and he doesn’t even know the old rhyme by children sing about sticks and stones?
Watched some of the news this morning where the MSM newscaster was virtually apoplectic over the news that the unemployment rate had fallen. I listened closely: no actual numbers. Then I went to CNN. Same thing. Both networks were crowing that the Obama plan was working, of course.
So what are the numbers? This month, with a plus or minus of a few points, we went from 17.5% to 17.2% unemployment. Seriously? This is statistically meaningless. Oh wait, tomorrow the great cry of triumph will be that the jobless rate didn’t grow! Doesn’t anyone remember the past? Jobs always pick up the last couple months of the year as manufacturers and retail get ready for the holiday crush.
Signs, signs, damn my eyes the hideous signs! Both the pro and anti recall organizations have coated Oceanside in similar signs. Most of them are in the public right of ways, but the number in yards looks to be growing.
For much of the race thus far the union goons dominated the streets. I’m hearing that some of them are actually wearing ‘fake’ costumes that look like their uniforms, to get around the prohibition on wearing their uniforms while campaigning (which I understand is actually a crime, by the way). Over the last few weeks though people are saying that there has been a dramatic increase in the ‘anti’ street campaign. Maybe it’s just me but I think in these local campaigns you gotta have your door to door program running strong!
It’s pretty old news, but much of the country thinks that the media is anti-Republican, or at least that they lean to the left. Of course, reporters claim neutrality. One of my favorite posts on the old ‘Red County’ San Diego was the list of the numerous San Diego Union Tribune employees, people directly involved in reporting the news not ink monkeys, who gave to Democrat candidates. But it got better over the last couple days when Alex Roth, a former Union Tribune reporter who many of us thought tilted to the left, and who now works for Mayor Sanders, compared the GOP to the Heaven’s Gate suicide cult. Way to go Alex! Welcome to your new world – you don’t write the stories any more.
As entertaining as it is to read about Marti Emerald’s shenanigans down in the City of San Diego, up here in the north county we have another show down looming in the Bilbray Congressional seat. Here is the campaign warchest tally:
Bilbray (R) – 430k cash on hand
Busby (D) – 144k cash on hand (5k of debt)
Roberts (D) – 122k cash on hand
Pretty low numbers for Busby. With the Democrats on the defensive this year she may have gotten herself into a fight with no backup. Finish her off for good Brian!
Like many people I was irritated when Red County changed it’s format to a system that was impossible to use, and unfriendly to the only place I cared about: San Diego. THANKS to Mighty Thor and Barry Jantz for SDRostra.com.
Anyway, there is soooo much to discuss about north county – it’s been several months since my last post on Red County. How about the Kern recall in Oceanside? Is is just me or are the firefighter unions all over this county totally out of control? Paycheck protection anyone? Couldn’t the council have done that BEFORE the recall attempt? How is the campaign actually going?