What is the advantage of taking the Covid-19 vaccine?

Guest Column Guest Column 6 Comments


Guest Commentary
by Dan Bickford

The purpose of this article isn’t to persuade anyone to, or not to, accept the COVID-19 vaccine. That is a deeply personal decision. This article is merely to have a discussion about real data as it relates to the advantages or disadvantages of accepting the vaccine.

Thousands of articles hit the media every hour about Covid, the Moderna vaccine, the Pfizer vaccine and those County, State and Federal status reports. It’s very difficult and sometimes impossible to dig down to the facts. One case in point would be that California Governor Newsom recently admitted that releasing the State’s collection of data would confuse the public.

Since so much reporting is speculation and opinion thinly disguised as factual, even from government sources, let’s look at what we can glean from the “official” data releases and use those numbers as baseline for the purpose of this article.

  • CA population, 39,512,000 (Wikipedia)
  • CA has experienced 3,320,862 total cases of Covid-19(2/5/21, covid19.ca.gov)
  • CA has experienced 43,647 total deaths from Covid19 (2/5/21, covid19.ca.gov)
  • Pfizer vaccine is 95% effective; Moderna vaccine is 94.1% effective (CDC)

Using the numbers:

  • 91.6% of the California population has not caught the virus over the past 12 months.
  • Of the 8.4% that did catch the virus, 98.7% will survive the virus.
  • About one tenth of one percent (0.11%) of the entire population of California died of Covid-19, or Covid-19 related illness.
  • 100% of the California population had their lives and livelihood altered in unimaginable ways.

Understanding the trials:

Basically, the percentages were based on blind trial testing positive Covid-19 after receiving the vaccine verses placebo. That is important because what this really means is that you have an 8.4% chance to catch the virus by not vaccinating, but a 5.9% chance to catch the virus after accepting the Moderna vaccine. This may be a significant number for our aging and immune compromised communities. But is it a significant number if you are healthy, younger and stronger? We already see that those in the latter category are much less susceptible to the virus.

After you accept the vaccine:

Okay, so you abided by all the recommendations, followed all the protocol and accepted your vaccinations on time as scheduled; what then? Can I stop wearing a mask in public? Can I dine indoors at restaurants? Can I watch a movie at an indoor movie theater? Can I attend and sing indoors at a church? Can I hug and kiss friends in a social setting? Can I go back to any pre-Covid activities at all?

The answer to all these questions is “No”. Why? Because the CDC says you need to help others in not spreading the virus… that you aren’t supposed to have… because you got a vaccine…


Another day I’ll investigate the discussion surrounding DNA alteration and side effects. But, based on the information shared here alone, I see little to no value in vaccinating anyone under 65 that do not have compromised immune systems.


Bickford, a resident of Santee, is a Senior Advocate.


Comments 6

  1. Good to see Rostra giving a platform to people playing footsie with vaccine denialism. Very interested in the next installment on “DNA alteration” from a Secretary of the Santee Parks and Rec Department (according to Linkedin), who I’m sure knows more than scientists. If his citing of Wikipedia as a source for this article is indicative of his expertise, I’m sure we’re in for a thrill ride!

    Congrats Rostra, you continue to sink lower into the SDGOP fever dream. Welcome to permanent political minority status.

  2. Your 8.4% vs 5.9% is wrong, or at least very misleading.

    In the study, 95 out of approximately 15,000 subjects who took the placebo became infected during the trial period. Only 5 of approximately 15,000 subjects who got the vaccine became infected. In other words, those not vaccinated had a 19x better chance of being infected. And none of the vaccinated subjects suffered “severe disease.”


    “In the Moderna study, there were 30,000 volunteers. Half got two doses of the vaccine 28 days apart; half got two shots of a placebo on the same schedule.

    There were 95 instances of COVID-19 illness among the study participants; only five of those cases were in the vaccinated group. Ninety were in the group receiving the placebo. Of these, there were 11 cases of severe disease.”

  3. Brian,

    If current trends hold, I think you will be singing along to “She Thinks My Tractor’s Sexy” come July.

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