by Dan Bickford
The purpose of this article isn’t to persuade anyone to, or not to, accept the COVID-19 vaccine. That is a deeply personal decision. This article is merely to have a discussion about real data as it relates to the advantages or disadvantages of accepting the vaccine.
Thousands of articles hit the media every hour about Covid, the Moderna vaccine, the Pfizer vaccine and those County, State and Federal status reports. It’s very difficult and sometimes impossible to dig down to the facts. One case in point would be that California Governor Newsom recently admitted that releasing the State’s collection of data would confuse the public.
Since so much reporting is speculation and opinion thinly disguised as factual, even from government sources, let’s look at what we can glean from the “official” data releases and use those numbers as baseline for the purpose of this article.
- CA population, 39,512,000 (Wikipedia)
- CA has experienced 3,320,862 total cases of Covid-19(2/5/21, covid19.ca.gov)
- CA has experienced 43,647 total deaths from Covid19 (2/5/21, covid19.ca.gov)
- Pfizer vaccine is 95% effective; Moderna vaccine is 94.1% effective (CDC)
Using the numbers:
- 91.6% of the California population has not caught the virus over the past 12 months.
- Of the 8.4% that did catch the virus, 98.7% will survive the virus.
- About one tenth of one percent (0.11%) of the entire population of California died of Covid-19, or Covid-19 related illness.
- 100% of the California population had their lives and livelihood altered in unimaginable ways.
Understanding the trials:
Basically, the percentages were based on blind trial testing positive Covid-19 after receiving the vaccine verses placebo. That is important because what this really means is that you have an 8.4% chance to catch the virus by not vaccinating, but a 5.9% chance to catch the virus after accepting the Moderna vaccine. This may be a significant number for our aging and immune compromised communities. But is it a significant number if you are healthy, younger and stronger? We already see that those in the latter category are much less susceptible to the virus.
After you accept the vaccine:
Okay, so you abided by all the recommendations, followed all the protocol and accepted your vaccinations on time as scheduled; what then? Can I stop wearing a mask in public? Can I dine indoors at restaurants? Can I watch a movie at an indoor movie theater? Can I attend and sing indoors at a church? Can I hug and kiss friends in a social setting? Can I go back to any pre-Covid activities at all?
The answer to all these questions is “No”. Why? Because the CDC says you need to help others in not spreading the virus… that you aren’t supposed to have… because you got a vaccine…
Another day I’ll investigate the discussion surrounding DNA alteration and side effects. But, based on the information shared here alone, I see little to no value in vaccinating anyone under 65 that do not have compromised immune systems.
Bickford, a resident of Santee, is a Senior Advocate.