Dianne Jacob Recruits Vaus To Challenge Anderson. Expect RPSDC to Endorse Vaus

Brian Brady Brian Brady 12 Comments

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Watch what happens in the Second Supervisorial Race (East County) in 2019.  Dianne Jacob is pulling a Pam Slater-Price move and I am betting that the compromised RPSDC Committee will endorse Poway Mayor Steve Vaus — it’s leadership is purging the ranks of Anderson supporters.

RPSDC endorsed State Senator Joel Anderson,  against Dianne Jacob in 2016. Why would it flip?

Follow the money. Jacob got real estate developer Tom Sudberry to “back” Vaus and Sudberry brought along all of his real estate developer friends into the game. While Vaus hasn’t raised any money yet, expect independent committees and the RPSDC to play big in this race with most of the money coming from the developers who want to be the ONLY people allowed to build in East County.

New homes will be built in East County; that’s coming. If the downtown developers back a candidate who favors restricted or “smart” growth, the developers can exclude competition and charge overinflated prices for the new homes.

Where there is money to be harvested, expect to see the Republican Party of San Diego County. While the San Diego Democrats are building up the volunteer base, RPSDC is clinging to the old direct mail model for “member communications”. The local GOP ran off the volunteers over a decade ago. Direct mail costs money and RPSDC can get the Downtown developers to donate for the direct mail pieces, plus a 15-20 percent premium for the RPSDC coffers. THIS is why you will see so many Committee members from outside of East County voting to endorse Vaus.

It won’t work in a general election. The only candidate who will be able to defeat Union Leader Tom Lemmon and the energized Democratic volunteers will be a candidate who is willing to take the fight to the voters’ doorsteps. Joel Anderson has represented the District for some 12 years now and has an army of volunteers, most of whom worked or volunteered for him since 2008.

Anderson has the grass roots machine to fight the Democratic ballot-harvesting machine.

Vaus, RPSDC, The Lincoln Club, and Sudberry have the post office.

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Comments 12

  1. I never want to pass up an opportunity (because they are rare) to agree with Brian Brady. This is one of those opportunities. Joel Anderson would win the General Election in a landslide. Steve Vaus might, but it will be a much closer contest.

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  3. Brian,

    You are probably right but people agreeing doesn’t make for an interesting blog.

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  5. Joel is the hands down choice for East County because we know he is the only person standing between us and a repeat of Paradise, CA.

  6. Uhhhhhmmmm…your speculation that Supervisor Jacob recruited Mayor Vaus is 100% wrong. Without going into details, there were two people who were considering the 2020 run a few years ago, Mayor Vaus was one and I was the other. Neither of us was approached by Supervisor Jacob.

    I hope the RPCSD does endorse Vaus, it would breathe life into the party, something it desperately needs.

    PS — Brian, I think you owe a certain bookseller something as I believe you had a bet that I would run (-:

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    “Brian, I think you owe a certain bookseller something as I believe you had a bet that I would run (-:”

    There is time, yet. 😉

    “There were two people who were considering the 2020 run a few years ago, Mayor Vaus was one and I was the other.”

    I spoke with Steve two years ago and asked him to run for Congress. He said (and I am paraphrasing but it’s a close quote), “Absolutely not. All I have ever wanted to be was Poway Mayor. I will never seek higher office than that.”

    Has Jacob endorsed anyone?

  8. Brian,

    Jacob endorsed Mayor Vaus. I think that’s public knowledge. But, he was running before her endorsement. The fact she endorsed him doesn’t lead to the conclusion that she recruited him.

    I endorsed Mayor Vaus so it’s safe to say I’m not in the running (-:

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    “The fact she endorsed him doesn’t lead to the conclusion that she recruited him.”

    Jacob was actively recruiting candidates in late November/early December; Vaus wasn’t her first choice. In January, Vaus called me to announce that he is challenging Anderson, with Jacob’s support.

    I can do the math, Kristine.

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    “What mathematical equation are you following? ”

    2016: Anderson challenges Jacob; decides not to do it.
    2017: Vaus tells me that he is never running for any other office but Poway Mayor
    Dec 2018: Jacob starts shopping for a candidate to challenge Anderson; Vaus is not first choice
    Jan 2019: Vaus calls me and says Jacob will support him
    Feb-Mar 2019: Jacob tells Lincoln Club she has campaign money to give to Anderson challenger

    Were you and Vaus deciding who would challenge Anderson in 2016, Kristine?

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