Category Archive

This is my column this week in The Coast News… Northbound: Post-Election Recap By Vince Vasquez   As an elections analyst, one of my personal axioms I like to share is that, every election cycle, we learn something new about voters, and their relationship with the voting process. That was certainly true in North County for this presidential general election. …

November 2016 Election: High Turnout, Ballot Drop-off an “X” Factor More than 442,000 ballots are projected to be cast on Election Day SAN DIEGO – On the eve of Election Day, Vince Vasquez, an independent elections analyst, projects a high turnout rate in San Diego County, and some potential surprises emerging in down ballot races due to “voter drop off.” …

As we approach Independence Day, North County residents should consider restoring an old American tradition – permitting the sale and use of safe and sane fireworks for fun and family entertainment. “Safe and sane” refers to fireworks that do not explode or fly; it does not include firecrackers, bottle rockets, roman candles, or any explosive, airborne projectiles. Think sparklers, smoke …

  With early voting beginning today in the June 7th presidential primary election, the National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR) took a closer look at the local races and voter dynamics to watch for this election cycle in San Diego County. Using data from the San Diego Registrar of Voters and Political Data Inc., NUSIPR made a number …

New Statistical Model Projects Trump Wins 133 of 172 State Delegates (77%) SAN DIEGO – Businessman Donald Trump is likely to win the California Republican primary election on June 6th. That is the findings of a new report released today by the National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR), a regional economic think tank. Using demographic data from the …

Report: Carlsbad Measure A Generating High Voter Turnout Passage of Measure A Likely an “Uphill Climb” SAN DIEGO – The National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR) is projecting more than half of registered Carlsbad voters will be casting ballots on Measure A. Using election data from the Registrar of Voters and Political Data Inc. voter software, NUSIPR evaluated …

As an elections analyst, I always try to find interesting electoral dynamics that shape the voter landscape and move the needle on Election Day. So when I look at Nevada’s GOP presidential caucus on February 23rd, I’m surprised I see the conditions for a “primary pivot” emerging there, possibly shifting a Trump-dominated race to a more competitive contest for party …

As an avid observer of the presidential contest underway, I can’t help but notice (and be exasperated by) the large number of voters in both parties who seem to be clamoring for a “strongman” candidate – someone who is willing to bypass the separation of powers to unilaterally bring radical change to our country. I can’t really get into the …

For years, Portland, Oregon has laid claim to the largest number of breweries and brewpubs of any city in the United States. That honor will soon pass to San Diego. Though it went unreported, sometime this spring the City of San Diego matched “beer fortified” Portland for the total number of breweries and brewpubs (60). Based upon the pending ABC …

Update, June 21… MAYOR KEVIN L. FAULCONER CITY OF SAN DIEGO NEWS RELEASE Petco Park’s Park at the Park to Show 2015 FIFA Women’s World Cup USA vs. Colombia Match Mayor and Padres Announce Public Viewing Will Be Free of Charge San Diego, CA – The San Diego Padres and Mayor Kevin Faulconer today announced that Petco Park’s Park at …

New research suggests that active voters in California are becoming an endangered species. A combination of demographic shifts, technology changes and electoral reforms is likely causing systemic, low voter participation in the state, which may well persist through the end of the decade. With enough planning and investment, the California Republican Party can swim against the tide, creating a competitive …

[View the story “Some Final Thoughts on #CA52” on Storify]

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE                                                                                                            October 6, 2014 CONTACT:   Vince Vasquez vvasquez@nu.edu Report: November Election Promises Competitive, Pivotal Races in San Diego Higher Voter Turnout, Moderate Electorate Projected SAN DIEGO – As early voting begins today in the November 4th gubernatorial general election, the National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR) identified key dynamics to look for in the election cycle. …

[View the story “June 2014 Election Eve Ballot Analysis” on Storify]

This Tuesday, the City of San Diego held a mayoral special election to fill the vacancy left by disgraced former mayor Bob Filner, who resigned last August. Using GIS software and data from the San Diego County Registrar of Voters, the National University System Institute for Policy Research conducted an analysis of the precinct results, and Tweeted its findings this …

Changing Demographics Increase Competition, Voter Choice SAN DIEGO – Though City Council District 4 has been represented by an African American Councilmember for nearly half a century, new demographic trends suggest the next elected representative is equally likely to be Latino, Asian, or another ethnicity. That is the major finding of a new report published by the National University System …