CA 50 Poll: Carl DeMaio Dominates GOP Field

Carl DeMaio Undesignated 3 Comments


San Diego – In late June, Tarrance Group conducted a scientific poll of voters in the 50th Congressional District.

According to the summary memo on the polling research, pollster Dave Sackett writes: “Carl DeMaio is the top performing Republican candidate on every different potential iteration of a ballot test and holds leads over both Duncan Hunter and Darrell Issa on primary ballot tests that include each of them.”

“I’m grateful for the support we are receiving from every part of the district, but election day is always the only poll that really matters so we are taking nothing for granted and working hard each and every day to listen to voters and win their support,” said DeMaio.

Three candidates have high name-ID in the district, but only Carl DeMaio has an overwhelmingly net positive rating.

Among Republican primary voters, DeMaio maintains a seventy-four percent (74%) favorable rating – the best of all three candidates. Trump voters, as well as both social and fiscal conservatives, view him favorably and view him to be conservative.

DeMaio’s appeal extends to Independent/DTS voters as well. Among Independent primary voters, DeMaio scores a solid 48% favorable rating. In contrast, Duncan Hunter’s unfavorable rating among Independent voters is up at 66% – while only 15% of Independent voters view DeMaio negatively.

The poll tested three different candidate fields to examine voter preferences in the event of different candidates running for office.

No matter what combination of candidates, the poll showed Carl DeMaio winning the primary to advance to the runoff against the lone Democrat candidate – each and every time.

View the trial heats and polling memo here


Comments 3

  1. Really Carl? I didn’t expect you to post the raw poll data, but a favorability fluff is the best you’re willing to give up? There’s nothing else in there that might convince someone this is a good idea?

    Also, about that slogan “Take California Back” – not sure how that is constituted by primarying another Republican in a safe seat.

  2. But I hear Carl wasn’t even on the radar of the most recent GOP Assembly District Caucus meeting. Larry Wilske took 50% of the 6 voting delegates in the room.

  3. Dave:

    It’s good to know Larry has three votes in the district. Great start.

    BTW, there is more than one AD Caucus in a Congressional District. Which one?

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