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Archive for the ‘Vince Vasquez’ Category

 

With early voting beginning today in the June 7th presidential primary election, the National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR) took a closer look at the local races and voter dynamics to watch for this election cycle in San Diego County. Using data from the San Diego Registrar of Voters and Political Data Inc., NUSIPR made a number of key findings:

Key Findings

  • More than half (50-53%) of all registered voters countywide will cast a ballot. High interest and enthusiasm in the presidential race, combined with local competitive races, will raise turnout on Election Day.
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TrumpVote

New Statistical Model Projects Trump Wins 133 of 172 State Delegates (77%)

SAN DIEGO – Businessman Donald Trump is likely to win the California Republican primary election on June 6th. That is the findings of a new report released today by the National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR), a regional economic think tank.

Using demographic data from the United States Census Bureau, statistical techniques, and electoral results from four recent state elections, NUSIPR developed a statistical model to project the California vote by Congressional District. Overall, they found:

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Report: Carlsbad Measure A Generating High Voter Turnout
Passage of Measure A Likely an “Uphill Climb”

SAN DIEGO – The National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR) is projecting more than half of registered Carlsbad voters will be casting ballots on Measure A. Using election data from the Registrar of Voters and Political Data Inc. voter software, NUSIPR evaluated the early ballots received as of this morning for the February 23rd special election.

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As an elections analyst, I always try to find interesting electoral dynamics that shape the voter landscape and move the needle on Election Day. So when I look at Nevada’s GOP presidential caucus on February 23rd, I’m surprised I see the conditions for a “primary pivot” emerging there, possibly shifting a Trump-dominated race to a more competitive contest for party nominee.

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Voters: Choose Your Strongman for 2016!

Friday, September 25, 2015
posted by Vince Vasquez

As an avid observer of the presidential contest underway, I can’t help but notice (and be exasperated by) the large number of voters in both parties who seem to be clamoring for a “strongman” candidate – someone who is willing to bypass the separation of powers to unilaterally bring radical change to our country. I can’t really get into the psychology of this phenomenon – maybe it’s a combination of partisan frustration, an inability of candidates and the parties to manage expectations among their base, and a heightened urgency to overcome the partisan games and gridlock that have paralyzed reasonable policy making in Congress. I won’t play Freud.

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For years, Portland, Oregon has laid claim to the largest number of breweries and brewpubs of any city in the United States. That honor will soon pass to San Diego.

Though it went unreported, sometime this spring the City of San Diego matched “beer fortified” Portland for the total number of breweries and brewpubs (60). Based upon the pending ABC licenses and planned brewery openings, I project that San Diego will surpass Portland by the end of this year. That means San Diego will be home to the largest number of breweries and brewpubs per capita (Vista), by city, and by county – an industry triple crown of sorts.

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Update, June 21…

MAYOR KEVIN L. FAULCONER CITY OF SAN DIEGO

NEWS RELEASE

Petco Park’s Park at the Park to Show 2015 FIFA Women’s World Cup USA vs. Colombia Match

Mayor and Padres Announce Public Viewing Will Be Free of Charge

San Diego, CA – The San Diego Padres and Mayor Kevin Faulconer today announced that Petco Park’s Park at the Park will host a public viewing area for the 2015 FIFA Women’s World Cup match between the United States and Colombia taking place Monday, June 22 at 5:00 p.m. PT.

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California GOP: Competitive Statewide by 2020

Wednesday, December 3, 2014
posted by Vince Vasquez

New research suggests that active voters in California are becoming an endangered species. A combination of demographic shifts, technology changes and electoral reforms is likely causing systemic, low voter participation in the state, which may well persist through the end of the decade. With enough planning and investment, the California Republican Party can swim against the tide, creating a competitive landscape for future statewide victories.

Elections Are Fundamentally Changing

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE                                                                                                            October 6, 2014

CONTACT:   Vince Vasquez

vvasquez@nu.edu

Report: November Election Promises Competitive, Pivotal Races in San Diego
Higher Voter Turnout, Moderate Electorate Projected

SAN DIEGO – As early voting begins today in the November 4th gubernatorial general election, the National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR) identified key dynamics to look for in the election cycle. Using GIS software and data from the Registrar of Voters, NUSIPR evaluated results from the previous June election and made new assessments for November.

Overall, we found that:

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June 2014 Election Eve Ballot Analysis

Tuesday, June 3, 2014
posted by Vince Vasquez
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2014 Mayoral Election Results

Thursday, February 13, 2014
posted by Vince Vasquez

This Tuesday, the City of San Diego held a mayoral special election to fill the vacancy left by disgraced former mayor Bob Filner, who resigned last August. Using GIS software and data from the San Diego County Registrar of Voters, the National University System Institute for Policy Research conducted an analysis of the precinct results, and Tweeted its findings this morning. Below is a Storify transcript of those findings.

[View the story “2014 Mayoral Election Results” on Storify]

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Report: Few Voters Will Cast Ballots in San Diego Mayoral Special Election

Absentee Voters, Republican Voters Will Play Larger Role in Mayoral Race

SAN DIEGO – Less than half of all registered voters are expected to cast ballots in the San Diego mayoral special election scheduled for November 19th. That is the conclusion of a new report authored by the National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR), a regional economic think-tank.

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One quarter of those surveyed considering moving out of state A quarter of the residents in California’s most affluent communities are considering relocating out of state in response to the increase in state income taxes, according to a report released today by the National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR).  A scientific poll (n=401) conducted by Competitive Edge Research for the National University System Institute for Policy Research from March 4-6, 2013 shows that 13% of the state’s residents are somewhat considering a move, 12% are very seriously considering vacating the state, and 1% are already moving out to minimize their personal income tax burden.

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Last Tuesday, the City of San Diego held a special election to fill the vacancy left in the 4th Council District by outgoing Councilmember Tony Young. Using GIS software and data from the San Diego County Registrar of Voters and the United States Census Bureau, the National University System Institute for Policy Research conducted an analysis of the precinct results, and Tweeted its findings this morning. Below is a Storify transcript of those findings.

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Changing Demographics Increase Competition, Voter Choice

SAN DIEGO – Though City Council District 4 has been represented by an African American Councilmember for nearly half a century, new demographic trends suggest the next elected representative is equally likely to be Latino, Asian, or another ethnicity. That is the major finding of a new report published by the National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR).

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For The First Time, Absentee Voters Will Dominate San Diego City Mayoral Election

SAN DIEGO – In the past three San Diego mayoral elections, the majority of votes in the general election were cast on Election Day. However, a new analysis by the National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR) projects a historic change this year, as mailed ballots will, for the first time, comprise the majority of votes cast in the race. Using data from the Registrar of Voters office and GIS mapping software, NUSIPR evaluated a number of recent voter trends that will have an impact in Tuesday’s contest.

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The race to become mayor of the City of San Diego has narrowed down to two finalists. In this policy brief the National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR) analyzed newly released electoral data from the San Diego County Registrar of Voters’ office using GIS software.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

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Demographic Changes Will Impact San Diego City Council District Elections, Future Policymaking

SAN DIEGO – Demographic changes and neighborhood-level concerns are likely to impact San Diego City Council District elections and future policymaking at City Hall. Those are the major findings of a new study published today by the National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR).

On August 25, 2011, the City of San Diego Redistricting Commission adopted new boundary lines for City Council Districts, while also adding a ninth Council seat.  NUSIPR used GIS and database software to analyze demographic and government data available from the City of San Diego, SANDAG, and the United States Census Bureau.

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How taxpayer-friendly is your local representative in Sacramento?

The results are in from the 2011 Legislative Report Card issued by the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association (HJTA), one of California’s oldest and most respected taxpayer advocacy organizations.  Based on their legislative votes, San Diego Assemblymember Diane Harkey and Senator Joel Anderson received the highest “A” grades (96.3%) within the San Diego delegation!

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According to a new Survey USA poll, San Diego Mayor Jerry Sanders’s proposed public subsidy for a new Chargers stadium is a tough sell to the public.

In the October 13th poll that surveyed 500 adults in the City of San Diego, 70% of respondents opposed an annual $38 million taxpayer subsidy to fund a new football stadium for 30 years. Among those strongly opposed are Independents (80%), conservatives (77%), Caucasians (75%), and women (75%).

The poll references the “rough estimate” recently floated by Mayor Jerry Sanders as the public’s contribution towards the cost of an $800 million stadium in East Village. The annual amount would cover bond debt payments, and would not require higher or new taxes.

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SAN DIEGO – New Council District lines drawn for the City of San Diego will likely create more competitive elections and shift the balance of power at City Hall. Those are the major findings of a new study published today by the National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR).

On August 25, 2011, the seven members of the City of San Diego Redistricting Commission adopted new boundary lines for City Council Districts, while also adding a ninth Council seat.   NUSIPR used GIS and database software to analyze voter data available from county, state and federal government agencies.

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Facebook, Twitter: Raise the American Flag!

Sunday, September 11, 2011
posted by Vince Vasquez

Last night, an attempt to post a quick patriotic message has launched a new campaign to raise our American flag online.

Let me explain. I was drafting a message to publish on my Twitter and Facebook accounts, in recognition of Patriot Day and the 10th anniversary of September 11th, 2001, when I found I was missing what I wanted to share most with my family and friends: an image of the American flag.

You see, special text characters and symbols can be inserted into the text fields of popular social media sites. They’re often used to recognize holidays and events. You can find most of them here http://thenextweb.com/TwitterKeys/keys.php and here http://facebook-symbols.com/all/.

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New Groundbreaking Study Reveals “Project Labor Agreements” (PLAs) Increase School Construction Costs by 13 to 15 Percent in California

School projects built under these contracts cost $28.90 to $32.49 more per square foot

JULY 26, 2011 SAN DIEGO – California school construction projects built under contracts that contain provisions known as Project Labor Agreements (PLAs) cost 13 to 15 percent more than non-PLA projects. That is the major finding of a new study published today by the National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR). This research is, to date, the most expansive review of the use of these agreements on school construction.  It is particularly relevant considering that California voters have approved $64 billion in school construction bonds during the last decade.  Clearly, the facts suggest that enactment of a PLA may have significant financial consequences.

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A new SurveyUSA poll reveals Councilmember Carl DeMaio has taken an early lead in the race for Mayor of San Diego.

In a poll that surveyed 538 registered city voters, DeMaio leads the growing pack of candidates with 22% of the vote. District Attorney Bonnie Dumanis, who announced her candidacy in March, comes in second place at 15%, and Democratic Congressman Bob Filner trails in third at 14%. State Assemblyman Nathan Fletcher (R), who announced his run for Mayor on Monday, polls in fifth place at 7% of the overall vote.

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