UT columnist Tom Blair notes the other day that former state GOP chairman Ron Nehring is consulting the Bonnie Dumanis for Mayor campaign…
http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/2011/oct/26/tom-blair-some-people-are-just-born-salesmen/
Reader thoughts? Post a comment below.
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Which GOP candidate loses the most from the Log Cabin Club endorsement of Nathan Fletcher for Mayor?
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Comments 6
Bonnie’s looking to beef up her Republican creds since her entire team is dems. Not gonna help. Carl’s got the hard right locked up, Nathan’s got enough of the center right to prevent an outright party endorsement. Not sure what Ron brings to the table unless he is a new paid spokesperson.
The log cabin endorsement hurts both Carl and Bonnie but it has nothing to do with being gay republicans. It hurts them because it highlights that Nathan is picking up diverse endorsements from various demographic voting blocks and they are not. Name a demographic and he’s got an endorsement to show for it. Carl and Bonnie are proving themselves to be one trick ponies. One as anti-union and the other as law and order. Maybe that single message can win the race, but I doubt it.
I like the way Nathan is running the race so far, he’s laying a solid foundation. Will be fun to see how him and Carl match up head to head. Both work their butts off, both are smart and both have a good shot. Carl’s not one to shy away from an opponent, which makes it so much more interesting why refuses to debate Nathan.
Sam,
Excellent point about Fletcher’s diversity of endorsements. I would even question Dumanis’ “law and order” cred since Fletcher was endorsed by Police and the Probation Officers.
Author
UT piece on Dumanis…
http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/2011/oct/30/dumanis-navigates-early-bumps-mayoral-bid/
Just read the article. If Bonnie thinks that the slow and steady approach will win this thing, she’s more out of touch than I thought. Carl and Nathan are running a sprint marathon and are not likely to slow up. They’re like political energizer bunnies. They live and breath this race, already! I bet they continue to out fundrais her WHILE actually campaigning. Voters may not be watching yet but donors and power brokers sure are.
Uggh….
Some simple truths
1) San Diego primary elections “skew” old. I believe the median age is something like 50 or 51. Bonnie has a built in advantage based upon demographics.
2) She is the only woman in the race (among the big 4) for now (I know, my sense of drama cries “donna 2012”) . What is THAT worth – 5, 10, 15%?
3) Spending time fundraising is critical for her. She HAS to show she is competitive in the next filing period to keep $ on board.
I think she is in trouble. I do think it has been a “slow start”. But I also think that she doesn’t benefit from waging an energizer bunny campaign. Her major appeal has to be that she is the “only adult” in the race….and that SCREAMS not being overaggressive and over eager too early in the race.
Demographics isn’t destiny but it sure tells you the odds 😉
What ultimately results from Nehring taking sides for Bonnie actually signifies what could be a substantial internal shift amongst “the powers that be” among the SD County right-of-center movement. When have Nehring and Dichiara ever supported opposing candidates in an election that mattered?