Pollster John Nienstedt’s discussion on polling and the reasons polls fail to accurately gauge voter behavior (and what polls can and CANNOT do) has been a hit on the post-election poliwonk social circuit. Among the topics on tap, Nienstedt has provided his insight on the variance in results among the polls conducted over the past few months on Prop D, the recently defeated sales tax initiative.
John generously provided his slide on Prop D so we could share it with Rostra readers. Who says number crunchers are dull?
For anyone the slightest bit skeptical on John’s street cred, CERC’s strategic advice helped lead to major victories for Chula Vista Yes on Proposition G (Fair and Open Competition), Gore for San Diego County Sheriff, Horn and Roberts for San Diego County Supervisor, San Diego County Yes on Proposition A (Fair and Open Competition), San Diego No on Proposition D (City Sales Tax), and Lorie Zapf for San Diego City Council.
John also contributed to the efforts of Adams for Congress (Florida 24), Committee to Improve Magnolia Schools – Yes on Measure I, Douglas and Packard for Carlsbad City Council, Faulconer for San Diego City Council, Garrick for California State Assembly, Hall for Carlsbad Mayor, Quintero for Fresno City Council, Riverside County Measure M, Runner for California Board of Equalization, Wapner for Ontario City Council, Wyland for California State Senate, Yes on Measure I Committee (West Sonoma County), and Yes on Prop P Committee, Encinitas.
That’s what I call cred.