Other San Diego Assembly Maps — Martin Block’s AD 78 is “dismembered” — and GOP gets pick-up Chance on Coast

Jim Sills Jim Sills 4 Comments

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If the preliminary California Staff-prepared maps stand up, here are the remaining SD County Assembly maps, and they all spell T-R-O-U-B-L-E for Assemblyman Martin Block (D), and an OPPORTUNITY for Republicans to win a Coastal district from Democrats. http://wedrawthelines.ca.gov/meeting_handouts.html

Block faces 3 options: (1) stay in his current East SD home and challenge popular GOP incumbent Brian Jones in a district based on La Mesa, El Cajon, Santee and Lakeside.  (2)  follow the bulk of AD 78’s population to the South Bay, leaving behind heavily Democratic East SD city precincts (3) Head West to an open Coastal seat and face a “Republican to be Named Later” in a toss-up district.  No matter which choice he makes, Block faces a much tougher race in 2012.

……… Republican Opportunity on the Coast

That “green-colored” coastal district figures to have no incumbent next year, and Republicans have strongholds in Coronado, Point Loma, and La Jolla, and can compete well in Bay Park, Serra Mesa and Pacific Beach.  There is no obvious Republican candidate…yet… but they are sure to emerge soon enough. Democrat possibilities include Martin Block.

OTHER  SEATS — Nathan Fletcher’s district remains solidly Republican, Ben Hueso’s solidly Democratic.  Brian Jones’ only potential tough opponent is Martin Block…. Caveats … the maps shown are still preliminary … I am writing  these reports on the fly … Don’t try this at home … and hold  all Bingo cards.

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Jim Sills is a San Diego political consultant. If you have questions about your future in San Diego and California elections, you can contact Jim at this e-mail address: YourElectionVictory@Hotmail.com

He has aided the campaigns of Rep. Darrell Issa, Assemblywoman Shirley Horton, Senators Joel Anderson and Tony Strickland, Representatives Devin Nunes and J.D. Hayworth, County Assessor & Recorder Greg Smith, among many others in California and beyond.

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Comments 4

  1. I don’t see a pick up on the coast? Coastal Solana Beach/Del Mar, Coastal La Jolla, UCSD, Pacific Beach, Ocean Beach, Hillcrest, Mission Hills, Normal Heights, Linda Vista, Barrio Logan, North Park???? Other than sparesly populated parts of Point Loma, Coronado, the hills of La Jolla and Rancho Santa Fe – This is a SAFE DEM seat. I think the folks in RSF will have a BIG shock when they are represented by a liberal democrat in the State Assembly.

  2. There was a similar coastal Assembly district here in the 1980s. It was won by Republican “Sunny” Mojonnier in 1982, and she held it until 1990.

  3. Correct me if wrong but I thought Nathan lived on the West side of the 5 (in the green area) or am I getting him and George P. confused?

  4. Yes, Jim, it was “Sunny on the Coast”. That being said, over the past 30 years, the coastal areas of Solana Beach, Del Mar & La Jolla have made a dramatic lurch to the left, especially with the much larger student population of UCSD. With Mission Hills, it used to be GOP, but they died off or left a long time ago.

    Erik – Nathan is South University City (East of 5) Yellow

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