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Mayoral Polling from Brown & Bailey: DeMaio, Filner in lead

EXCLUSIVE to SD ROSTRA

Released by: Richard Bailey

Contact: Richard Bailey – 619.335.7315, Richard@brownandbailey.com

Election: 2012 Primary San Diego Mayor

Date: Sept 7th – Sept 10th 2011*

Sample Size: 945 likely voters** – 201 Cell phone users, 744 Landline users

Error: +/- 3.2%

There was no sponsor for the poll.

Results of 2012 Primary for San Diego Mayor Poll (readers may also view this info as a color attachment)

If the 2012 primary election for San Diego Mayor were today, which one of the following candidates would you vote for?

District Attorney Bonnie Dumanis, City Councilman Carl DeMaio, State Assemblyman Nathan Fletcher, Congressman Bob Filner or some other candidate? [Candidates name rotated]

Candidate Total # of Voters %
Carl DeMaio

369

39%

Bob Filner

262

28%

Bonnie Dumanis

175

19%

Nathan Fletcher

94

10%

Other

45

5%

TOTAL

945

100%

Click on this link for detail on party registration of respondents.

An “undecided” option was not provided to respondents because of how the question was phrased.  If the election were held today respondents would not be able to check the “undecided” box.  The undecided option allows respondents to answer a question different than the one asked.

Disclosure:  Richard Bailey is a contributor and supporter of Carl DeMaio.  The respondents were selected by two other members of Brown & Bailey with no ties to any of the candidates.  We welcome any questions regarding the poll and also suggestions for future polls to be released on topics of interest to Rostra readers.

For more information regarding this survey and/or the demographics of respondents, please contact Richard Bailey.

Brown & Bailey provides data analysis and spatial mapping to political organizations and businesses.  To learn more about the services offered please visit www.brownandbailey.com.   

*Original survey date was selected from Sept 7 – Sept 9.  Due to the countywide blackout the survey required an additional day of research to receive the desired number of respondents

**Likely voters are defined as those respondents that self-identified as “likely” to vote in the 2012 Mayoral Primary and participated in past elections. Newly registered voters that self-identified as likely to vote were also included.

***Independent voters for the purposes of this survey are considered all respondents not registered with either the Republican or Democrat parties

View this info and additional details as a color attachment

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