Due to the evolving climate surrounding the Presidential race and the emerging turnout patterns, a brief poll was commissioned less than a week ago to track the race for County Supervisor in District 3. The poll includes an initial ballot test, a reading of the primary negative message against Roberts, and a second ballot test.
Click here to see the results.
Comments 2
Link error.
What’s the result?
Does this work?
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1apm7AVgahqbPyVP8nahqns1ASpaEJuCZVHYkDfk3cMQ/edit?usp=docslist_api
Barry Zeplowitz & Associates
SAN DIEGO 3RD SUPERVISOR DISTRICT
OCTOBER 2016
OVERALL RESULTS
QUESTION 1. HOW LIKELY ARE YOU TO VOTE IN THE JUNE PRIMARY ELECTION
FOR FEDERAL, STATE AND LOCAL CANDIDATES:
# %
1. DEFINITELY VOTING 378 94
2. PROBABLY VOTING 14 3
3. PROBABLY NOT VOTING COULD CHANGE MIND 9 2
TOTAL 400
QUESTION 2. DAVE ROBERTS COUNTY SUPERVISOR
# %
1. VERY FAVORABLE 47 12
2. SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 66 17
3. SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 28 7
4. VERY UNFAVORABLE 30 7
5. NO OPINION 92 23
6. NOT AWARE 137 34
TOTAL 400
FAVORABLE 114 28%
UNFAVORABLE 58 14%
NET FAVORABLE 56 14%
FAVOR : UNFAVOR 2.0:1
QUESTION 3. KRISTIN GASPAR MAYOR OF ENCINITAS
# %
1. VERY FAVORABLE 27 7
2. SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 41 10
3. SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 25 6
4. VERY UNFAVORABLE 25 6
5. NO OPINION 88 22
6. NOT AWARE 194 48
TOTAL 400
FAVORABLE 69 17%
UNFAVORABLE 50 12%
NET FAVORABLE 19 5%
FAVOR : UNFAVOR 1.4:1
BARRY ZEPLOWITZ & ASSOCIATES 10-18-2016 PAGE OV-1
SAN DIEGO 3RD SUPERVISOR DISTRICT
OCTOBER 2016
OVERALL RESULTS
QUESTION 4. IF THE NOVEMBER ELECTION FOR COUNTY SUPERVISOR WERE HELD TODAY
AND THE CANDIDATES WERE: DAVE ROBERTS AND KRISTIN GASPAR, FOR
WHOM WOULD YOU BE VOTING?
# %
1. GASPAR 69 18
2. LEAN GASPAR 12 3
3. LEAN ROBERTS 11 3
4. ROBERTS 120 31
98. NOT SURE 176 45
99. REFUSED 12
TOTAL 400
ROBERTS 131 34%
GASPAR 81 21%
NET ROBERTS 50 13%
ROBERTS : GASPAR 1.6:1
QUESTION 5. SUPERVISOR ROBERTS WAS ACCUSED BY THREE FORMER FEMALE STAFF MEMBERS OF MISUSING COUNTY FUNDS, CREATING A HOSTILE WORK ENVIRONMENT AND ATTEMPTING TO BRIBE AN EMPLOYEE IF SHE WOULD LIE TO INVESTIGATORS. WHILE THE DISTRICT ATTORNEY DECLINED TO PRESS CRIMINAL CHARGES, THE RESULTING LAWSUIT AGAINST SUPERVISOR ROBERTS LED TO A SETTLEMENT OF $310,000 TO THE THREE WOMEN, AND OTHER SUPERVISORS SAID THAT IT COULD COST MORE THAN $1 MILLION TO DEFEND THE COUNTY FROM THE FORMER EMPLOYEES’ ALLEGATIONS.SO, AFTER HEARING ABOUT LAST YEAR’S CONTROVERSY ABOUT DAVE ROBERT’S STAFF, ONCE MORE WE ASK …” IF THE NOVEMBER ELECTION FOR COUNTY SUPERVISOR WAS HELD TODAY AND THE CANDIDATES WERE:
DAVE ROBERTS AND KRISTIN GASPAR, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU BE VOTING?
# %
1. GASPAR 95 25
2. LEAN GASPAR 30 8
3. LEAN ROBERTS 7 2
4. ROBERTS 75 20
98. NOT SURE 173 45
99. REFUSED 20
TOTAL 400
GASPAR 125 33%
ROBERTS 82 22%
NET GASPAR 43 11%
GASPAR : ROBERTS 1.5:1
BARRY ZEPLOWITZ & ASSOCIATES 10-18-2016 PAGE OV-2
SAN DIEGO 3RD SUPERVISOR DISTRICT
OCTOBER 2016
OVERALL RESULTS
QUESTION 6. AGE
# %
1. 18-34 72 18
2. 35-44 60 15
3. 45-54 80 20
4. 55-64 88 22
5. 65+ 100 25
TOTAL 400
QUESTION 7. AFFILIATION
# %
1. DEMOCRAT 140 35
2. REPUBLICAN 148 37
3. UNAFFILIATED 100 25
4. OTHER 12 3
TOTAL 400
QUESTION 8. GENDER
# %
1. MALE 200 50
2. FEMALE 200 50
TOTAL 400
QUESTION 9. CELL PHONES
# %
1. YES 117 29
2. NO 283 71
TOTAL 400
BARRY ZEPLOWITZ & ASSOCIATES 10-18-2016 PAGE OV-3
SAN DIEGO 3RD SUPERVISOR DISTRICT
OCTOBER 2016
OVERALL RESULTS
QUESTION 10. GEOGRAPHIC BREAKS
# %
1. SAN DIEGO 221 55
2. COASTAL 86 22
3. ESCONDIDO 92 23
TOTAL 400
BARRY ZEPLOWITZ & ASSOCIATES 10-18-2016 PAGE OV-4