Thanks to avid Rostra reader Evan McLaughlin for noting, in response to today’s earlier post, a different poll rebutting Steve Castaneda’s claim of a five-point marginal lead over Lorena Gonzalez in the 80th Assembly District.
In fact, the other stats indicate the Castaneda-touted poll is a mere 37 points off.
McLaughlin provided the link to a San Diego Politico post, “Real Questions Produce Real Answers: Polling Shows Lorena Gonzalez with 32-point Lead Over Opponent,” generated from a Gonzalez press release…
“Pro-jobs Democrat Lorena Gonzalez leads opponent Steve Castaneda by 32 points in polling conducted in the Assembly District 80 special election.
“When provided summaries of the two candidates’ biographies and asked which candidate they prefer, respondents of a survey conducted by Anzalone Liszt Grove Research, Inc. preferred Lorena over her opponent by a 49-17 margin.”
So, which poll is right?
You be the judge. Some political watchers today said they didn’t put much stock in the Castaneda numbers. Yet, another analyst told us, “Five points I can believe. But 32? Ya, no.”
Ya, no. We’ll remember that.
Any pollsters want to jump in on polling efficacy, post a comment or send us a guest post.