Posts Tagged ‘Jerry Brown’
In the wake of low voter turnout in the June 2014 California primary which favored conservative / Republican candidates, is there any chance of a repeat on a bigger scale in November 2014?
John Nienstedt, president of Competitive Edge Research & Communication, says November 2014 could be a real downer for California when it comes to voter turnout. As John notes in a new blog post for Competitive Edge, The June primary turnout was stunningly — unprecedentedly — bad, as only 23 percent of registered voters cast a ballot. This embarrassing record justifiably gets him thinking about whether the upcoming general election will sink to a record low as well.
Voter turnout for the June 2014 California primary will be low. Not a “Stop The Presses” kind of statement.
How about this: “San Diego is on the cusp of experiencing record low voter turnout. I’m talking about turnout potentially so weak it could damage the city’s psyche.”
Competitive Edge Research & Communication President and CEO John Nienstedt made this assertion in a blog post Tuesday and it’s getting plenty of attention. Voice of San Diego saw fit to include the post in its Morning Report. Social media chatter is making noise about it.
This op-ed originally appeared in Steve Frank’s California Political News & Views
Common sense dictates that people as well as employers will act in their own best interest. This is the premise underlying market economies and why they provide more goods, services and improve the lives of all of us, much more so than a command or government manipulated market can. One of the risks associated with beginning or expanding a business (that is unsupported by government largesse) is in fact, government. That is, existing regulations and tax structure as well as anticipated or future regulatory and tax structure. If you are going to invest large amounts of money or throw the dice, you want to be fairly certain of the rules of the game. If the rules change after the dice land, you lose.
At least that’s my take on these comments, as quoted in the U-T article headlined “NOT ALL PROP. 30 TAX HIKE MONEY GOING TO SCHOOLS.”
Brown’s proposed $97.7 billion general fund budget assumes no state employee raises beyond those already required in union contracts. But contracts for all but two of the state’s 21 bargaining units are set to expire by July 2, and the Legislature now has a supermajority of labor-friendly Democrats.
At a news conference, Brown said he didn’t budget raises for fear that it could set an expectation for any specified amount.
Well, that’s not what Jerry Brown and legislative Democrats claim their bill would do, but how can we doubt that wouldn’t be the effect. Here is what they are claiming, as reported in the SacBee:
The goal is to create a savings program in which workers who have no access to a pension can count on a guaranteed rate of return for contributing about 3 percent of their salary.
Sounds laudable? But who will control the money? Who will guarantee the rate of return? According to the article, private insurers would, because:
This op-ed, co-authored with Senator Bob Dutton, originally appeared in the Flashreport
As of today, the Governor has yet to act on any of these bills. When he is done, we will grade Governor Brown on his performance. The Governor’s “letter grade” will be computed using the following scale… If he vetoes 90% or more, the Governor got an “A”, 80% – 89% a “B”, 70 – 79% a “A”, 60 – 69% a “D” and below that, an “F”…
For convenience, we have broken down the bad bills into seven different categories… Next to the bill number and author, in bright red, will appear the action taken by the Governor on each bill (none as of today).
In a little noticed report from the AP, Proposition 29, the Tobacco Tax initiative has narrowly been defeated. Although anticipated, this is the first news announcement I have seen on the issue.
With about 5 million ballots cast, opponents of Proposition 29 led by about 28,000 votes. The Associated Press analyzed areas where the roughly 105,000 uncounted votes remain and determined Friday there were not enough places where “yes” was winning to overcome the deficit.
Noted doping suspect, Lance Armstrong, was a key supporter.
Gov. Jerry Brown: State budget deficit now $16 billion
Gov. Jerry Brown said in a video release today that California’s budget deficit has mushroomed to $16 billion, nearly twice as high as the $9.2 billion he estimated in January.
Gosh, what a stunning revelation! Who’d a thunk it?
But the good news is that it’s not Assemblyman’s Nathan Fletcher’s fault. He wasn’t at his post in Sacramento, so no responsibility for this deterioration falls on his shoulders.
As a matter of fact, if there was some real pension reform, there wouldn’t be any need for tax increases. California is drowning under the burden of employee pension costs. Even the modest reforms offered by Jerry Brown are making no progress in the
Democrat union controlled legislature. A couple of key parts of his proposal:
- Equal sharing of pension costs: Require all new and current employees to contribute at least 50 percent of their retirement costs, shifting the burden from public employers, some of whom currently make the entire contribution.
Is Governor Brown for real? He signed a budget that was based on overly optimistic revenue projections that everyone knew would not be met. If he was a leader, he would NOT have signed the current budget last summer. If he really cared for California, he would have said “NO” and forced the legislature to work out a realistic budget (with no pay in the meantime).
I don’t know about you, but for me, a budget using the usual “smoke and mirrors” approach that just passes the problem to the next year and beyond isn’t realistic, nor does it show any leadership. Brown’s failure to provide the leadership expected as Governor regarding the budget has hurt the state even more.
My day job has become very challenging lately, and may continue to cause light blogging. When I have little time, it concentrates my mind on what is both important and within my sphere of influence. For example, I love following Presidential politics, but as a Californian I am going to have little influence on neither the Republican nominating process nor the electoral vote totals. Here are my priorities for this year and how I am feeling.
- 1. Defeating Governor Jerry Brown’s proposed tax increases; highly confident. Getting his execrable budget killed; not so much.
Governor Jerry Brown’s budget promises to cut public education by $4.8 billion if his tax increases aren’t passed next November. Promises, promises. That we could get some cuts in the bloated state educracy would be welcome indeed. The California school system is not performing that well, despite spending about $8,452 per pupil per year, although I think that number is low, it is the official state budget number from 2009-2010. The shock of some budget cuts would be welcome as it might force us to evaluate why we allow the government a near monopoly in delivering education.
Lest you get depressed over the stupidity in the headline in today’ U-T that a big majority approves of Jerry Brown’s proposed tax hikes, let me return you to reality, and a much better outlook. Here is the main quote.
Nearly two-thirds of Californians favor Brown’s tax hike, but fewer than half of them think he’s doing a good job as governor, according to a survey released Monday by the nonprofit Public Policy Institute of California.
First, remember that this a poll of “adults,” allegedly, not likely voters, not even registered voters. Such a poll is bound to vastly over estimate the support for new taxes. Likely voters are going to be more conservative than “adults.”
I was alerted by a tweet from my councilmember Lorie Zapf that Governor Jerry Brown has vetoed the anti-Walmart legislation sponsored by Juan Vargas, SB-469. Despite any rhetoric to the contrary, this bill was designed to make it harder for cities to approve Walmart supercenters that sell groceries, in direct competition with the largely unionized grocers like Ralphs, Vons and Albertsons. Labor’s support of the legislation is the key indicator that this bill was all about protecting union jobs from competition. From the U-T:
Welcome to the People’s Republic of California.
Famous for “California Gurls,” the Orange County and Beverly Hills Housewives, labor unions, and corrupt politicians, the Golden State welcomes you to chaos, superficiality, and exorbitant spending!
California’s current economic and cultural conditions should frighten all Americans. Make no mistake: it is on the verge of collapse.
The most populous state in the union is also recognized as the world’s eighth largest economy.
Today kicks off the hugely popular BlogHer ’11 conference in San Diego, a woman blogger-centric arena where the stronger sex gathers to share tips of the trade, network and even discuss some heavy topics.
In Southern California, fewer hot buttons exists above immigration. This border town’s seen it’s share of debate on the subject that if polled would yield varying opinions on the matter.
One man recently thrust himself on the mercy of the public after hiding his illegal status for 14 years and on Saturday, I’ll join him and other bloggers on a panel to discuss immigration.
In a welcome but widely unexpected move, Governor Brown has vetoed SB 168 — the state Democrat legislators’ slimy bill to all but outlaw the petition process for putting props and initiatives on the state and local ballots.
By Joel Fox
Editor of Fox & Hounds and President of the Small Business Action Committee
Tue, August 2nd, 2011
Wouldn’t it be nice if for once, no matter how hard it might be for them, that a real budget would be approved by Sacramento politicians without any gimmicks and not based on optimistic revenue projections?
How about learning to live within your means?
I scream whenever I hear the term “optimistic revenue projections” used anytime regarding the budget, because I know those projections aren’t going to be reached.
So, regarding the budget Governor Brown is reportedly going to sign, here are some analogies to compare the logic behind the state’s budget as if I prepared my personal budget using the same thinking.
Once again we’re left with a “smoke and mirrors” budget that doesn’t solve the problem and just passes the deficit to the next year. SO far Governor Brown has stood behind his campaign pledge and vetoed this budget because of the usual “Smoke and Mirrors,” but how long will he do so?
What we need are politicians that instead of bending to special interests, will stand up for the best needs of the state, which is a REAL balanced budget. But that isn’t going to happen. If you look back to 1979, the voters passed the Gann Limit initiative. This measure limited the growth of government based upon population and inflation. It mandated self-constraint, however, even with so many good ideas, it’s been severely weakened (1988 and 1990 ballots, as a start) to the point that it is virtually powerless.
“Whether you support Redevelopment or not, if Gov. Brown does eliminate funding in whole or in part, city leaders must be prepared to protect taxpayers. Here’s a 3-point memo I have released asking for financial and legal analysis to do just that.” — Carl DeMaio
Governor Brown’s proposal to eliminate Redevelopment Agencies would have serious consequences for the future of San Diego . While we may object to this plan, it is important for city officials to demonstrate proactive leadership in preparation of Governor Brown’s action and during the transition that would follow. Our singular goal must be to protect the General Fund.
Despite calling his address the State of the State, Jerry Brown’s speech was really first, foremost and only about the looming budget deficit. It is unlikely to be papered over one more time, but who knows politicians are such good liars. I missed the speech, but am reading from the transcript.
The governor makes some good points.
My plan to rebuild California requires a vote of the people, and frankly I believe it would be irresponsible for us to exclude the people from this process. They have a right to vote on this plan. This state belongs to all of us, not just those of us in this chamber. Given the unique nature of the crisis and the serious impact our decisions will have on millions of Californians, the voters deserve to be heard.
. . .
On the morning of Jerry Brown’s inauguration as governor of California, I did a 5 minute in-studio interview discussing his upcoming reign on KUSI-TV. Here’s the link to the video, which will not remain up on their website for too long, I suspect.
The interview is lively and a just a tad irreverent. And it includes an on-the-fly mike change for me — so don’t get rattled by the static in the first part of the interview.
Brown may be a surprisingly good governor
by RICHARD RIDER
North County Times – Californian |
Tuesday, November 9, 2010 12:00 am
Granted, Jerry Brown is crazy. Proof positive is that he ran for governor of California, a doomed state. But he just might be crazy in a good way.
Who knows what Gov. Brown will do? I don’t. I doubt Jerry knows. But oddly enough, I predict that —- from a fiscal conservative viewpoint —- he’ll be far better than any of us imagined.
Not great. Perhaps not even good. Just better than conservatives expect —- a lot better.
Wa-a-a-y back when Election Day 2010 was a distant mirage, I predicted in the October 9, 2009 post titled “Moonbeam Shining Bright In Governor’s Race” that as crazy as his chances seemed, former Governor Jerry Brown would succeed Arnold Schwarzenegger.
Today, poll results released by the Public Policy Institute of California, show Jerry Brown leading challenger Meg Whitman by eight percentage points. What’s more, support for Brown is rising among key voting blocs, including independents and Latinos. The poll was conducted among likely voters, an important distinct in election polling, and its margin of error is plus or minus 3.5%.