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Study: Majority of Votes Cast in SD Mayoral Election Will be Absentee Voters

Tuesday, November 6, 2012
posted by Vince Vasquez

For The First Time, Absentee Voters Will Dominate San Diego City Mayoral Election

SAN DIEGO - In the past three San Diego mayoral elections, the majority of votes in the general election were cast on Election Day. However, a new analysis by the National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR) projects a historic change this year, as mailed ballots will, for the first time, comprise the majority of votes cast in the race. Using data from the Registrar of Voters office and GIS mapping software, NUSIPR evaluated a number of recent voter trends that will have an impact in Tuesday’s contest.

Overall, NUSIPR found that:

  • The majority of votes in the San Diego City mayoral election will come from absentee voters.
  • Nearly half (47.1%) of all San Diego City voters are “permanent vote-by-mail” voters, an increase of 172% since the 2005 mayoral election.
  • Fewer polling booth “Election Day voters” will be found concentrated in neighborhoods South of Interstate 8, challenging traditional Get-Out-The-Vote operations.

For more information, the Election Day report can be found here.

About the National University System Institute for Policy Research

The National University System Institute for Policy Research (NUSIPR) is a non-partisan, non-profit organization that formulates and promotes high quality economic policy, and public opinion research so as to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of local governments in San Diego County and to improve the quality of life enjoyed by the region’s residents.

NUSIPR publishes regular independent research and analysis for the public on a range of topics, including unemployment, business growth, and the San Diego housing market. The Institute also works collaboratively with clients to develop high quality research products that are tailored to their policy needs.

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4 Responses to “Study: Majority of Votes Cast in SD Mayoral Election Will be Absentee Voters”

  1. It’s always puzzled me way more people don’t vote by mail. For 45 cents, I save time, gas, voting lines, pressure, etc. I haven’t voted in a “booth” in over 10 years.

    It doesn’t help that we still call it “absentee” voting. It makes too many people think they have to have some legitimate EXCUSE to get permission to vote by mail.

    Call it what it is: mail ballot voting. Or voting by mail, if you wish.

  2. For years, Oregon has used mail ballot voting INSTEAD of “voting booth” voting. They seem quite happy with it, and there is little evidence of voter fraud — let alone MORE voter fraud than we already experience with our current CA system.

  3. Ryan Purdy says:

    Vince: Great info as always! Thank you for the timely post.

  4. Jack says:

    Encinitas Voters finally woke up and rejected the biggest RINO in the party. Finally, voters are realizing some Republicans were voting like flaming fiscal liberals for Employee Pensions. With past council, things were weird in Encinitas, were the democrats were and are by far the fiscal conservatives. A new day is shining in Encininitas. I hope this means the Republican Party is on its way to restoring its former Glory and eliminating all RINOs. Blessed….. Thank you voters!!!!

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