Archive for the ‘Barry Jantz’ Category
Over 40 readers submitted guesses in another competitive contest to guess the June 3 election results.
Before I get to the winners, first the questions, the correct answers, and a little analysis. But, even before that, just a mention of what San Diego City Council candidate Chris Cate had to say when submitting his contest entry:
“First off, my life is complete now that I’m included in a Rostra election quiz!”
That pretty much sums up the entire meaning of life. Thanks, Chris.
1. County Board of Supervisors, District 5 — Bill Horn or Jim Wood?
It’s time again, peeps! The contest both Reps and Dems equally love, or love to hate. Show us your PPP (political prognosticating prowess).
- Read the questions closely. No tricks, just read the questions.
- Send your guesses to firstname.lastname@example.org ONLY. The Rostra elves are assisting on this, so don’t send to my email.
- Do NOT post your answers here.
- Deadline to submit guesses: Election Day — Tuesday, June 3, 2014 — 7 pm, PST. No exceptions.
- If you’re reading this on FlashReport and don’t follow San Diego politics, don’t complain. Just DON’T ANSWER.
The U-T San Diego reports on the SurveyUSA poll showing District Attorney Bonnie Dumanis handily leading her challengers, but below the 50 percent lock-it-up-now threshold…
1) It’s an auto-response survey, often less than reliable. SurveyUSA sometimes misses the mark on measuring those polled against quality projections of voter turnout.
2) If undecideds break like the rest of those reported by this poll, Dumanis could win it outright.
3) Is there any significant changed campaign outreach from Bob Brewer or Dumanis in the last several days? Independent expenditures?
Overturning her prior decision that embattled Sweetwater Union High School District Trustees Bertha Lopez and Jim Cartmill could remain on the school board after pleading to misdemeanors, Judge Ana España reversed the ruling today, thus leaving John McCann as the lone member.
Cartmill and Lopez have been suspended from the board pending sentencing.
Protocol I believe indicates the next step as the District seeking authority for the County Board of Education to appoint a couple of trustees.
The UT San Diego will have a more detailed story soon, I assume, if one isn’t posting while I write this.
With La Mesa Councilmember Ernie Ewin’s announcement this morning that he will not seek reelection this year, at least one open City Council seat will appear on the November ballot.
It is anticipated that Ewin’s council colleague Mark Arapostathis will make an announcement in the next day or so as to his intentions. If he doesn’t announce his plans to run for mayor against incumbent Art Madrid, my intel is sorely lacking.
As both Arapostathis and Ewin would be up for re-election this year, that means La Mesa voters potentially filling two Council seats with new faces in the fall, as well as the showdown for the mayor’s spot.
Oh, and Joel Anderson is my hero.
The lone lawmaker to vote against the resolution, SR38, was Republican Sen. Joel Anderson of Alpine. He argued that all three should be expelled outright and said it was wrong that they should continue receiving their salaries when facing such serious charges.
In a surprise to many, especially those hoping she would once again seek office in the City of Chula Vista, former Assemblywoman Shirley Horton late yesterday afternoon visited the Registrar of Voters to set in motion a bid for State Board of Equalization.
For several months the BOE race to succeed a term-limited Michelle Steel was principally shaping up to be an Assemblywoman Diane Harkey versus Senator Mark Wyland matchup, which was getting ugly before it even started, including at one point Harkey even suing Wyland.
Today may be the qualification deadline for the June primary this year, but Mike Harrison is getting the jump on a deadline still two years away. The longtime staffer to both Congressmen Duncan Hunters (father and son) tells me he is running in 2016 to succeed Brian Jones in the State Assembly. I requested Harrison provide a comment, but he did one better, sending me the following:
Achieving a Better California
by Mike Harrison
A better California is something we not only deserve, it’s a goal I want to help us achieve in our great state. After much prayer and discussion with my family, I have made the decision to run for California State Legislature’s 71st Assembly District in 2016.
Notice the headline. I really miss Bob Filner press releases.
Despite this version of the contest rolling out only the day before election Tuesday, over 40 readers submitted entries. Several folks did really well on this one, ultimately forcing a tie-breaker.
A reminder of the questions, along with the correct answers and some analysis:
1. When the first results are released shortly after 8 pm., one of the candidates will have more than 52 percent of the vote, TRUE or FALSE?
OK, a quick one this time, for tomorrow’s City of San Diego mayoral election.
A reminder of the “rules”:
- Read the questions closely. No tricks, just read the questions.
- Send your guesses to email@example.com ONLY. The Rostra admins are assisting on this, so don’t send to my email. As well, do NOT post your answers here.
- Deadline to submit guesses: Tomorrow — Tuesday, February 11, 2014 — 7:30 p.m. No exceptions. That’s Pacific Time.
- In the case of a close race, the contest winner may not be determined until certification of the election. Patience, if so.
As is my custom the last few years on this night….
And it came to pass in those days, that there went out a decree from Caesar Augustus that all the world should be taxed. And all went to be taxed, every one into his own city.
And Joseph also went up from Galilee, out of the city of Nazareth, into Judaea, unto the city of David, which is called Bethlehem; (because he was of the house and lineage of David) to be taxed with Mary his espoused wife, being great with child.
From a decade ago, a week and a half after the start of one of the worst fires in U.S. history, below is a letter by local officials to then Governor-elect Arnold Schwarzenegger outlining the lack of response by the State to a means of getting additional firefighting equipment in the air.
It is worth a read today, as both a cautionary tale and what became a vehicle for change.
In the wake of the Cedar Fire tragedy, I’m proud of the truth that was told and the small part I played in piecing together and putting to pen the thoughts of those signing this letter.
by Barry Jantz
This was published at FlashReport on Sunday.
Is the City of San Diego agreement with Bob Filner a good deal for taxpayers?
Maybe we can start by agreeing on something. It really chaps the common hide to think the city would enter into any settlement whatsoever with the soon-to-be former but already disgraced mayor. If it were up to a lot of people, the guy would be left penniless or behind bars.
In a broadcast response to NBC 7 reporter Rory Devine’s question as to why Mayor Bob Filner would grant interviews to some media outlets but not others, some insight from political consultant Bob Schuman:
“He’s not really snubbing a station, he’s snubbing those that watch a certain station or read a certain blog.”
That explains why Rostra didn’t get some time with the mayor.
Or, it could be due to Richard Rider posting here.
Post updated below with a statement from Peder Norby.
After just last month filing the necessary documents to set up a committee and declaring his intention as a candidate against Fifth District County Supervisor Bill Horn next year, Planning Commissioner Peder Norby recently had a change of heart.
Norby’s consultant Bob Schuman confirmed his client would not run. “He’s got a great life, job and marriage,” said Schuman. “He asked himself why he’d want to risk messing any of that up.” Schuman also said Norby was happy knowing he would continue to be involved while influencing public policy, “doing what he is doing.”
Although the official announcement won’t take place until later this week, SD Rostra confirmed today that former Assemblyman and 2012 San Diego mayoral candidate Nathan Fletcher is returning to the Republican Party.
Fletcher caused a stir by leaving the GOP and registering non-partisan during last year’s mayoral contest, after failing to win the party’s endorsement in the race. Many political watchers believed the move was a strategic gamble to breathe life into his campaign effort. Athough Fletcher received a flurry of notoriety as a result, it ultimately wasn’t enough as he finished third behind Bob Filner and Carl DeMaio in the June primary election.
Sam Adams was the blogger of his day. The King of England didn’t understand him either.
Read it and (fill in the blank)…
Here too is the Matt Hall’s Storify compilation of the reaction…
Many in political and government circles in San Diego and throughout California knew Jim Schmidt as a tireless community advocate. He was also one of the nicest gentlemen you could ever hope to meet, even while pointedly telling you the way things should be — or how much more efficient government was when Ronald Reagan was Governor.
In case you missed it, Jim passed away on January 5 at his home in El Cajon. Here is the UT San Diego obituary.
I was asked to ensure SD Rostra readers were aware of this Thursday’s celebration of Jim’s life…
I’ve laughed in the past at those so willing to defend the late Michael Jackson based solely in their seemingly blind belief that he was too talented to have any “issues” … or at least any poor judgment. They would put him on a pedestal, perhaps not wanting the worst to be true.
It’s clear that I, admittedly, have done the same with Lance Armstrong.
Yet, any comparison to Jackson ends there. His obvious personal “weirdness” differed greatly from Armstrong’s apparent lack of any. Some would say a dysfunctional upbringing fueled Jackson’s demons. Yet, Lance overcame a life-or-death illness, thus captivating and capturing many through his courage.
Pop Quiz: What candidate received the most votes ever in a single City of San Diego election?
Poli-hacks will no doubt mull that one based on a myriad of details, such as growth over time in population (and thus voters), turnout, popularity of the candidate, and whether it was during a primary with multiple candidates or, say, a two-candidate runoff during a presidential general election, etc., etc.
So, what do you think? Bob Filner? Jerry Sanders? Susan Golding, perhaps? Pete Wilson, or was the pool of voters too small back then as compared to today?
Finally, the results have been tallied up in our General Election Contest (here are the questions) … and we have some winners!
I know you’ve been waiting breathlessly, now six weeks after election day. My only excuse is that I knew we’d have a tie-breaker. With many entrants guessing to a hundredth of a percent on the difference in the San Diego Mayor’s race, I knew it could be futile until the Registar’s count was complete to finalize my own results. That’s my story and I’m sticking to it.
It’s that time again, peeps! Show us your political prognosticating prowess. The contest all the poli-hacks have been awaiting. At least that’s what some tell me, even if they don’t admit it to anyone else.
As a reminder, Christine Moore won the primary contest, in the most competitive finish yet. She hasn’t yet collected on the meal, but we haven’t yet connected at the same Albondigas lunch — my fault. Yet, I am good for it. Trust me.
A reminder of the “rules,” if that’s what you call some of these…
A short response to the little Rostra debate over Tony Krvaric’s reaction to the recent Tom Shepard news…
Commenter ‘D. Morton’ says, “Only through a combination of naivete and delusions of grandeur could someone actually believe that it is both possible and the ‘JOB’ of 60+ people in a hotel banquet room in Rancho Bernardo to define a Republican.”
To change the end of his quote a tad… Only through a combination of naivete and delusions of grandeur could someone actually believe that it is both possible and the ‘JOB’ of 121 people in a building in Sacramento to decide policies that impact over 37 million of the rest of us.