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Word from the Registrar of Voters this morning is that Steve Padilla supporters have called off the balance of the recount in the Chula Vista City Council contest, thus cementing John McCann’s prior win. In the last few days Team Padilla shifted gears from the recount effort to contesting disallowed ballots (see below), then back to the recount, all to no avail.

In fact, one contested ballot that Padilla wanted included in the mix yesterday ended up being a vote for McCann. Unless the entire City is recounted, however, the final tally stays with the certified result. The closest race in Chula Vista history thus ends officially with a two vote victory by Republican McCann.

Update Tuesday 12/2, 4:45 pm…

It’s official from the Registrar of Voters. John McCann wins in Chula Vista by two votes. In essence, nothing changed from last Wednesday, as anticipated (see prior update below).

Here’s the “final.”

I’m not going out on a limb saying that Steve Padilla or one of his supporters — labor or the Democratic Party, for instance — will now likely start a recount process.

The results have to be official before a recount is requested. This is now official.

In election parlance, official and done are not always one in the same.

Updated Thursday 4:55 pm…

With all countywide votes in the hopper, it remains tied. The “final,” same as yesterday:

STEVE PADILLA  18450    50.00 %
JOHN McCANN 18450    50.00 %

I’ve asked the Registrar of Voters (ROV) for some clarity:

  • What’s the recount process, if one is pursued?
  • One or the other candidate can pay for one?
  • They can agree to share in the cost?
  • If no recount, it goes to a coin toss or other “game of chance,” administered by Chula Vista (per state elections code)?

Some new numbers from the Registrar of Voters, with about 28,000 ballots left to tally county-wide:

52nd Congressional

Scott Peters now leads Carl DeMaio by 5,430 votes, 51.44 to 48.56 percent. Since the Friday night update when Peters was at 51.25 percent, 7,871 ballots were added to the total (188,200 counted thus far). Peters received just under 56 percent of the additional votes since Friday. DeMaio conceded the race today.

Mayor, Imperial Beach

Update: 5:00 p.m. Friday:

  • Scott Peters’ 50.27 percent yesterday increased to 51.25 percent today.
  • Raw votes are now at Peters with 92,410 and DeMaio with 87,919.
  • Peters’ 861 vote lead yesterday increased to a lead of 4,491.
  • Total ballots counted increased from 156,813 to 180,329.
  • Thus, that’s 23,516 additional ballots counted. Peters added 13,573 votes to his total. DeMaio added 9,943 votes to his.
  • That means Peters took over 57.7 percent of the additional ballots counted.
  • It’s estimated that between 10,000 and 18,000 votes remain to be counted in the district.

A unique comparison

Friday, October 31, 2014
posted by Barry Jantz

No, this didn’t go to every high propensity household in Council District 6 with Tony’s name on it…

…but it may have Pollie Award written all over it.

You just won the World Series and were named MVP. It’s likely your contract includes significant bonus incentives for each feat, totaling hundreds of thousands of dollars on top of the millions you’re already paid even if your team hadn’t made the playoffs. You’ll be listed in the record books. You have a ring and a trophy. You’ve achieved everything you dreamed about as child.

You are the LAST person in the world needing a FREE car, and everyone watching knows it. But the car company, “The official vehicle of the World Series,” sponsored this opportunity and they’re gonna give you the keys. It’s their right, no question.

Didn’t we just do one of these? Or two? It’s that time again!

A reminder of the so-called “rules”…

  • Read the questions closely.  No tricks, just read the questions.
  • Send your guesses to ONLY. The Rostra TAs, interns and miscellaneous other rabble are assisting, so don’t send to my email.
  • Do NOT post your answers here.
  • Deadline to submit guesses: Election Day — Tuesday, November 4, 2014 — 7 p.m., PST. No exceptions.
  • If you’re reading this on FlashReport and don’t follow San Diego politics, don’t complain. Just DON’T ANSWER.

Over 40 readers submitted guesses in another competitive contest to guess the June 3 election results.

Before I get to the winners, first the questions, the correct answers, and a little analysis.  But, even before that, just a mention of what San Diego City Council candidate Chris Cate had to say when submitting his contest entry:

“First off, my life is complete now that I’m included in a Rostra election quiz!”

That pretty much sums up the entire meaning of life. Thanks, Chris.

The Results:

1. County Board of Supervisors, District 5 — Bill Horn or Jim Wood?

It’s time again, peeps! The contest both Reps and Dems equally love, or love to hate. Show us your PPP (political prognosticating prowess).

The “rules,” if that’s what you call some of these…

  • Read the questions closely.  No tricks, just read the questions.
  • Send your guesses to ONLY. The Rostra elves are assisting on this, so don’t send to my email.
  • Do NOT post your answers here.
  • Deadline to submit guesses: Election Day — Tuesday, June 3, 2014 — 7 pm, PST. No exceptions.

U-T: Dumanis has big lead. Discuss.

Sunday, May 25, 2014
posted by Barry Jantz

The U-T San Diego reports on the SurveyUSA poll showing District Attorney Bonnie Dumanis handily leading her challengers, but below the 50 percent lock-it-up-now threshold…

So, wonks…

1) It’s an auto-response survey, often less than reliable. SurveyUSA sometimes misses the mark on measuring those polled against quality projections of voter turnout.

2) If undecideds break like the rest of those reported by this poll, Dumanis could win it outright.

3) Is there any significant changed campaign outreach from Bob Brewer or Dumanis in the last several days? Independent expenditures?

McCann wins Survivor Sweetwater

Tuesday, May 13, 2014
posted by Barry Jantz

Overturning her prior decision that embattled Sweetwater Union High School District Trustees Bertha Lopez and Jim Cartmill could remain on the school board after pleading to misdemeanors, Judge Ana España reversed the ruling today, thus leaving John McCann as the lone member.

Cartmill and Lopez have been suspended from the board pending sentencing.

Protocol I believe indicates the next step is the District seeking authority for the County Board of Education to appoint a couple of trustees.

The UT San Diego will have a more detailed story soon, I assume, if one isn’t posting while I write this.

Danger Zone: Goldens are coming!

Thursday, April 3, 2014
posted by Barry Jantz

With La Mesa Councilmember Ernie Ewin’s announcement this morning that he will not seek reelection this year, at least one open City Council seat will appear on the November ballot.

It is anticipated that Ewin’s council colleague Mark Arapostathis will make an announcement in the next day or so as to his intentions. If he doesn’t announce his plans to run for mayor against incumbent Art Madrid, my intel is sorely lacking.

As both Arapostathis and Ewin would be up for re-election this year, that means La Mesa voters potentially filling two Council seats with new faces in the fall, as well as the showdown for the mayor’s spot.

Three Senators suspended…

Friday, March 28, 2014
posted by Barry Jantz

Oh, and Joel Anderson is my hero.

The lone lawmaker to vote against the resolution, SR38, was Republican Sen. Joel Anderson of Alpine. He argued that all three should be expelled outright and said it was wrong that they should continue receiving their salaries when facing such serious charges.

In a surprise to many, especially those hoping she would once again seek office in the City of Chula Vista, former Assemblywoman Shirley Horton late yesterday afternoon visited the Registrar of Voters to set in motion a bid for State Board of Equalization.

For several months the BOE race to succeed a term-limited Michelle Steel was principally shaping up to be an Assemblywoman Diane Harkey versus Senator Mark Wyland matchup, which was getting ugly before it even started, including at one point Harkey even suing Wyland.

Today may be the qualification deadline for the June primary this year, but Mike Harrison is getting the jump on a deadline still two years away. The longtime staffer to both Congressmen Duncan Hunters (father and son) tells me he is running in 2016 to succeed Brian Jones in the State Assembly. I requested Harrison provide a comment, but he did one better, sending me the following:

Achieving a Better California
by Mike Harrison

A better California is something we not only deserve, it’s a goal I want to help us achieve in our great state. After much prayer and discussion with my family, I have made the decision to run for California State Legislature’s 71st Assembly District in 2016.

Rostra Contest Winners!!!

Friday, February 28, 2014
posted by Barry Jantz

Notice the headline. I really miss Bob Filner press releases.

Despite this version of the contest rolling out only the day before election Tuesday, over 40 readers submitted entries. Several folks did really well on this one, ultimately forcing a tie-breaker.

A reminder of the questions, along with the correct answers and some analysis:

1. When the first results are released shortly after 8 pm., one of the candidates will have more than 52 percent of the vote, TRUE or FALSE?

Mayoral Election Contest — Make your picks

Monday, February 10, 2014
posted by Barry Jantz

OK, a quick one this time, for tomorrow’s City of San Diego mayoral election.

A reminder of the “rules”:

  • Read the questions closely. No tricks, just read the questions.
  • Send your guesses to ONLY. The Rostra admins are assisting on this, so don’t send to my email. As well, do NOT post your answers here.
  • Deadline to submit guesses: Tomorrow — Tuesday, February 11, 2014 — 7:30 p.m. No exceptions. That’s Pacific Time.
  • In the case of a close race, the contest winner may not be determined until certification of the election. Patience, if so.

The 2000-Year-Old Blog

Tuesday, December 24, 2013
posted by Barry Jantz

As is my custom the last few years on this night….

And it came to pass in those days, that there went out a decree from Caesar Augustus that all the world should be taxed.  And all went to be taxed, every one into his own city.

And Joseph also went up from Galilee, out of the city of Nazareth, into Judaea, unto the city of David, which is called Bethlehem; (because he was of the house and lineage of David) to be taxed with Mary his espoused wife, being great with child.

Thor is very happy with all of us tonight at San Diego Rostra. Our humble political blog won first place in the Best News and Opinion Blog category at the San Diego Press Club Journalism Awards. The Libertarian Lass and Barry Jantz graciously accepted on behalf of everyone in the Rostra blogpen. Visual aid shown here.
San Diego Rostra, Barry Jantz and Gayle Falkenthal

The Libertarian Lass, Gayle Falkenthal; Barry Jantz

From a decade ago, a week and a half after the start of one of the worst fires in U.S. history, below is a letter by local officials to then Governor-elect Arnold Schwarzenegger outlining the lack of response by the State to a means of getting additional firefighting equipment in the air.

It is worth a read today, as both a cautionary tale and what became a vehicle for change.

In the wake of the Cedar Fire tragedy, I’m proud of the truth that was told and the small part I played in piecing together and putting to pen the thoughts of those signing this letter.

Is the Filner settlement a good deal?

Monday, August 26, 2013
posted by Barry Jantz

by Barry Jantz

This was published at FlashReport on Sunday.

Is the City of San Diego agreement with Bob Filner a good deal for taxpayers?

Maybe we can start by agreeing on something.  It really chaps the common hide to think the city would enter into any settlement whatsoever with the soon-to-be former but already disgraced mayor.  If it were up to a lot of people, the guy would be left penniless or behind bars.

Why Rostra didn’t get an interview

Tuesday, July 16, 2013
posted by Barry Jantz

In a broadcast response to NBC 7 reporter Rory Devine’s question as to why Mayor Bob Filner would grant interviews to some media outlets but not others, some insight from political consultant Bob Schuman:

“He’s not really snubbing a station, he’s snubbing those that watch a certain station or read a certain blog.”

That explains why Rostra didn’t get some time with the mayor.

Or, it could be due to Richard Rider posting here.

Post updated below with a statement from Peder Norby.

After just last month filing the necessary documents to set up a committee and declaring his intention as a candidate against Fifth District County Supervisor Bill Horn next year, Planning Commissioner Peder Norby recently had a change of heart.

Norby’s consultant Bob Schuman confirmed his client would not run. “He’s got a great life, job and marriage,” said Schuman. “He asked himself why he’d want to risk messing any of that up.” Schuman also said Norby was happy knowing he would continue to be involved while influencing public policy, “doing what he is doing.”

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